Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jordan Staal

Photo by Benjamin Reed, CC BY-SA 2.0

Jordan Staal

Carolina Hurricanes Center #11

1,400 games, 20 seasons, and he still shoots from 18 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2006-07PIT81291342+162447413122.114:56
2007-08PIT82121628-5553041836.618:16
2008-09PIT82222749+53721316613.319:51
2009-10PIT82212849+195712119510.819:24
2010-11PIT42111930+7243049112.121:21
2011-12PIT62252550+113453014916.820:03
2012-13CAR48102131-18321011148.820:06
2013-14CAR82152540+2342121659.118:57
2014-15CAR4661824-614101926.518:33
2015-16CAR82202848+63460415113.318:18
2016-17CAR75162945-1384131649.818:40
2017-18CAR79192746-42642216011.919:15
2018-19CAR50111728+6260011219.118:17
2019-20CAR6881927+3402001256.417:30
2020-21CAR53162238+23070410315.518:29
2021-22CAR78171936+111810214611.616:38
2022-23CAR81171734+73201312413.716:16
2023-24CAR80102030-14440131238.115:23
2024-25CAR75132336+151602310712.215:26
2025-26CAR75201636+52940410718.716:11
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—1403318429747+67644502149271711.717:56

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 16 assists in 75 games — 36 points, plus-5, at 16:11 a night. His twentieth NHL season and his 1,403rd game. 8 points in his last 10, 4 of them goals.

The Finesse Game

20 goals at 37 years old, and the shot chart explains it: 51 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet, median 18, with only 11 per cent from beyond 40.

He has no speed left and it does not matter, because he stopped needing it a decade ago. He arrives at the net late, he is 6-4 in a crowd, and he puts it in.

16 assists is what the playmaking is now.

The Physical Game

6-4, 220, and the body still works. 29 penalty minutes. He wins faceoffs, he protects pucks on the wall, and he plays the hardest defensive minutes on a club that leads the league in penalty killing.

The Intangibles

53.4 per cent of the expected goals, 79th percentile — the lowest of any Carolina regular forward, which is exactly what you would expect from the man taking every defensive-zone draw against every top line.

20 seasons, the 2nd overall pick in 2006, a Stanley Cup as a teenager, and a career spent doing the work that does not appear in a highlight package. He is 38 in September.

There is no decline visible in the results. When it comes it will come quickly, and the club has no obvious replacement for what he does.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 957 minutes

Expected goals
53.4%
79th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
59.1%
98th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 39 for, 41 against. Expected: 42.3 and 36.9.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
73rd
Numbers
79th

The two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 75 games

Top speed
23.1 mph
87th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.00 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.56 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.4 mph
73rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

8

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 4 assists, 17 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 957 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
CAR took 55.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.4% — 2.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 957 minutes at five-on-five — 55th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Martinook53.5%52.6%57.9%
Sean Walker57.3%50.6%56.5%
Nikolaj Ehlers56.0%51.8%56.6%

53.5% together, 52.6% for him apart and 57.9% for Martinook apart. Martinook was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

181 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 51% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 11% from beyond forty.