Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

11

Jordan Staal

Carolina Hurricanes Center

One thousand two hundred and fifty-three games, nineteen career shorthanded goals, and the ninety-ninth percentile of chances at thirty-six.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2006-07PIT81291342+162447413122.114:56
2007-08PIT82121628-5553041836.618:16
2008-09PIT82222749+53721316613.319:51
2009-10PIT82212849+195712119510.819:24
2010-11PIT42111930+7243049112.121:21
2011-12PIT62252550+113453014916.820:03
2012-13CAR48102131-18321011148.820:06
2013-14CAR82152540+2342121659.118:57
2014-15CAR4661824-614101926.518:33
2015-16CAR82202848+63460415113.318:18
2016-17CAR75162945-1384131649.818:40
2017-18CAR79192746-42642216011.919:15
2018-19CAR50111728+6260011219.118:17
2019-20CAR6881927+3402001256.417:30
2020-21CAR53162238+23070410315.518:29
2021-22CAR78171936+111810214611.616:38
2022-23CAR81171734+73201312413.716:16
2023-24CAR80102030-14440131238.115:23
2024-25 so far
Career1253285390675+47599461942250311.418:11

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 20 assists in 80 games — 30 points at 15:23 a night, minus-14, with 1 shorthanded goal and 3 game-winners on 123 shots at 8.13 per cent, and 44 penalty minutes. He was 35.

61.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,018 minutes, the 99th percentile — the highest mark of any forward on this roster. His ice went 42-36 against an expectation of 48.66-31.06, so seven goals of scoring went missing and six more were conceded than the chances said.

He took the 43.7 per cent of his end-zone draws in the offensive end, which is to say he started most shifts in his own zone and still produced the best chance share on the club.

The Finesse Game

123 attempts at a median of 19 feet, with 52 per cent from inside 20 and 18 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 8.13 per cent. 285 goals in 1,253 career games.

20 assists. He does not create and he never has — 675 points across eighteen seasons is a good third-line centre’s record and it is not the reason he has one of the longest careers in the league.

He wins the draw that begins the shift, and at 35 it is the last skill to go.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 220, and he is the hardest matchup centre in this chapter to play against. He wins pucks below the goal line, he cannot be moved off the wall, and he finishes checks without going looking for anybody.

44 penalty minutes in 80 games and 599 in 1,253 for his career is a low rate for a man who plays this way, and it is because he is almost never out of position.

He is trusted a man short and has 19 career shorthanded goals.

The Intangibles

Second overall in 2006 by Pittsburgh, a Stanley Cup at 20, and 1,253 games and 675 points across eighteen seasons.

He is the captain and he is 36. The ninety-ninth percentile of expected goals, from a defensive-zone start, at thirty-five, is the clearest statement in this chapter of what this club’s system is — and he has been the man taking those shifts for twelve years.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,018 minutes

Expected goals
61%
99th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
63.7%
100th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 36 against. Expected: 48.7 and 31.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
89th
Numbers
99th

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1018 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CAR took 56.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 61.0% — 4.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,018 minutes at five-on-five — 60th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Martinook60.6%63.1%50.5%
Jesper Fast58.8%62.9%60.6%
Jaccob Slavin61.4%60.7%54.6%

60.6% together, 63.1% for him apart and 50.5% for Martinook apart. Martinook was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Martinook than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

174 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 52% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.