Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Jordan Spence

Los Angeles Kings Defense

The only Australian-born player in this edition, and 29 assists in 101 games at 5-11.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22LAK2426802001414.919:45
2022-23LAK6011+1000060.014:00
2023-24LAK7122224+512100802.514:26
2024-25 so far
Career10142933+6141011273.115:40

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

71 games, 2 goals and 22 assists for 24 points, 1 on the power play, 12 penalty minutes, 14:26 a night and plus-5. He took 54.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 897 minutes, the 86th percentile, and his ice went 42-37 against an expectation of 40.44-33.28.

Two goals of finishing above expectation on his ice and four more conceded than the chances called for. An 86th-percentile chance share on a third pairing at 22, which is the most encouraging thing on the blue line after Doughty.

The Finesse Game

80 shots at a median of 55 feet with 75 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 2.5 per cent against a career 3.2.

29 career assists in 101 games. The shot from the line is ordinary and the whole of the value is the pass. He retrieves under pressure, turns away from the forechecker, and finds the outlet before he has been touched.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 188 and cannot hold a man out of the crease.

12 penalty minutes in 71 games is a very low rate. He does not defend with weight and he does not block many shots, and he is used for the puck rather than for the crease.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2019 out of Manly, Australia, three seasons, and 33 points in 101 games. He is the only Australian-born player in this edition.

He is 23 and has been kept to fourteen minutes a night by a club that is deep on the right side. The chance share says he is ready for more than he is getting.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 897 minutes

Expected goals
54.9%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.8%
92nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 37 against. Expected: 40.4 and 33.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
48th
Numbers
87th

The numbers rank him 39 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 897 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
LAK took 54.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.9% — 0.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 897 minutes at five-on-five — 48th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Andreas Englund53.3%59.0%48.1%
Pierre-Luc Dubois54.0%55.3%53.0%
Alex Laferriere47.5%58.4%52.3%

53.3% together, 59.0% for him apart and 48.1% for Englund apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Englund behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

111 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 46 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 75% from beyond forty.