Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

44

Vladislav Gavrikov

Los Angeles Kings Defense

Six foot three, twenty and a half minutes a night, and 24 goals in 353 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20CBJ6951318+118001816.218:59
2020-21CBJ5521012-1314001484.219:24
2021-22CBJ8052833-3680011084.622:17
2022-23CBJ/LAK7261319+438012896.721:58
2023-24LAK7761723+9280011145.320:37
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—3532481105-21660164405.520:46

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games, 6 goals and 17 assists for 23 points, 28 penalty minutes, 20:37 a night and plus-9. He took 53.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,350 minutes, the 78th percentile, and his ice went 63-54 against an expectation of 59.89-52.37.

Three goals of finishing above expectation on his ice and two more conceded than the chances called for. Twenty minutes a night against other clubs’ best forwards, and the play-driving stayed on the right side of the line.

The Finesse Game

114 shots at a median of 55 feet with 76 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 5.3 per cent against a career 5.5.

81 career assists in 353 games. He is a defensive defenceman and there is no offence to describe. What he does with the puck is move it to a forward quickly and stay out of the play.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 210 and punishing on the wall, and nobody wins a puck off him in his own corner.

28 penalty minutes in 77 games at twenty and a half a night is a very low rate for a defenceman who plays this heavily. He clears the front of his net, blocks shots and kills penalties.

The Intangibles

A sixth-round pick in 2015 out of Yaroslavl, five seasons after a long run at home, and 105 points in 353 games.

He is 28 and this is the second pairing on a club that finished third in goals against. He is due a contract and there is no obvious replacement for the minutes.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-3 and 210 and punishing on the wall, and nobody wins a puck off him in his own corner.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He is 6-3 and 210 and punishing on the wall, and nobody wins a puck off him in his own corner.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He clears the front of his net, blocks shots and kills penalties.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He clears the front of his net, blocks shots and kills penalties.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He clears the front of his net, blocks shots and kills penalties.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He is a defensive defenceman and there is no offence to describe.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,350 minutes

Expected goals
53.3%
78th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.7%
83rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 63 for, 54 against. Expected: 59.9 and 52.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
47th
Numbers
78th

The numbers rank him 31 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 77 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
56th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.71 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.80 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.9 mph
44th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1350 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
LAK took 54.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.3% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,350 minutes at five-on-five — 92nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matt Roy54.2%51.0%58.0%
Trevor Moore59.4%50.6%57.1%
Kevin Fiala60.5%50.1%57.2%

54.2% together, 51.0% for him apart and 58.0% for Roy apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Roy and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

141 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 46 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.