Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

48

Jordan Martinook

Carolina Hurricanes Left Wing

Eighty-two games, the ninety-eighth percentile of chances, and eight goals conceded above expectation.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15ARI8011-3000080.011:42
2015-16ARI8191524-9180121098.315:11
2016-17ARI77111425-84011210910.115:41
2017-18ARI816915-24450011125.414:01
2018-19CAR82151025+13801514610.314:29
2019-20CAR4521113-222001444.511:16
2020-21CAR444913-325001626.512:45
2021-22CAR596915+122002777.811:12
2022-23CAR82132134+7610131628.015:38
2023-24CAR82141832-1360111489.514:39
2024-25 so far
Career64180117197-4130715189778.214:09

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14 goals and 18 assists in all 82 games — 32 points at 14:39 a night, minus-1, with 1 shorthanded goal on 148 shots at 9.46 per cent, and 36 penalty minutes. His second-best goal total in ten seasons, at 31.

58.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,085 minutes, the 97th percentile. His ice went 40-42 against an expectation of 48.87-34.62 — nine goals of scoring missing and eight conceded above expectation, which is the harshest pair of numbers on the roster and came from a defensive-zone deployment.

The Finesse Game

148 attempts at a median of 25 feet, with 43 per cent from inside 20 and 24 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 9.46 per cent. Eighty goals in 641 career games; fourteen is a career high and it is not the reason he plays.

18 assists. He does not create and the puck does not stay on his stick — the offence is arriving first and putting it on net.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 208. He forechecks first and he finishes every check, and this is the whole of what he offers and it is a great deal.

307 penalty minutes in 641 games and he will fight. He wins pucks on the wall against defencemen and he is the forward on this roster an opponent notices first.

36 penalty minutes in 82 games is a moderate rate and the discipline is deliberate — on a club with the best penalty kill in the league, the man who hits everybody does not take the penalties.

The Intangibles

Fifty-eighth overall in 2012 by Phoenix, and 641 games and 197 points at 32 across two clubs.

He played all eighty-two. A third-line winger who forechecks like this at the ninety-eighth percentile of chances is what a system looks like from the inside, and the eight goals conceded above expectation on his ice belong to the assignment rather than to him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,085 minutes

Expected goals
58.5%
97th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
61.8%
100th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 42 against. Expected: 48.9 and 34.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
75th
Numbers
97th

The numbers rank him 22 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1085 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CAR took 56.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.5% — 1.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,085 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Staal60.6%50.5%63.1%
Jesper Fast60.0%57.3%59.2%
Jaccob Slavin60.7%56.6%54.7%

60.6% together, 50.5% for him apart and 63.1% for Staal apart. He was worse away from Staal, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Staal did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

229 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.