Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

48

Jordan Martinook

Carolina Hurricanes Left Wing

The 98th percentile in top speed and the 40th in distance — fast in bursts, on a fourth-line shift.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15ARI8011-3000080.011:42
2015-16ARI8191524-9180121098.315:11
2016-17ARI77111425-84011210910.115:41
2017-18ARI816915-24450011125.414:01
2018-19CAR82151025+13801514610.314:29
2019-20CAR4521113-222001444.511:16
2020-21CAR444913-325001626.512:45
2021-22CAR596915+122002777.811:12
2022-23CAR82132134+7610131628.015:38
2023-24 so far
Career5596699165-4027114178298.014:04

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

13 goals and 21 assists in 82 games — 34 points at 15:38 a night, plus-7, with 61 penalty minutes on 162 shots at 8.02 per cent. It is a career high in points.

58.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,105 minutes, the 96th percentile. His ice went 51-44 against an expectation of 51.9-36.69 — level at the offensive end and seven goals worse than the chances predicted at the defensive one.

He is 31 and this was his fifth season in Carolina.

The Finesse Game

162 attempts at a median of 22 feet, 45 per cent from inside twenty. Eight goals on 71 shots from inside twenty, five on 58 from the middle band, and nothing at all on 31 shots from beyond forty.

That last figure keeps recurring in this chapter and it stops being a coincidence somewhere around the fourth player. Carolina generated more shots than anyone in hockey and a large share of them came from places that do not produce goals; the men who scored were the men who stopped shooting from there.

8.02 per cent is a fair rate for the shots he takes and 66 goals in 559 games is who he is.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 208 with 61 penalty minutes, and the tracking pairs two numbers that do not usually go together: a top speed of 23.8 mph at the 98th percentile against 2.48 miles a game at the 40th.

That is a man who goes very fast in short bursts on a fifteen-minute night, which is exactly what a forechecking winger is paid for. He is first man in and he arrives on the puck, and the speed is the reason the arrival means something.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick by Phoenix in 2012 who has made a career out of the third-line job nobody writes about.

47.8 per cent of his even-strength shifts started in the offensive zone, the 99th percentile. He is an alternate captain on a club that has kept its room together for six years.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He is first man in and he arrives on the puck”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,105 minutes

Expected goals
58.6%
96th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
60.9%
98th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 44 against. Expected: 51.9 and 36.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
79th
Numbers
96th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 141 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 1105 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
CAR took 58.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.6% — 0.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,105 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Staal59.8%55.1%47.8%
Jesper Fast59.4%56.1%49.5%
Brett Pesce57.2%59.7%55.3%

59.8% together, 55.1% for him apart and 47.8% for Staal apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

244 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.