Armchair Hockey Scout

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2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

25

Jonas Brodin

Minnesota Wild Defense

Twenty-three minutes a night, fourteen points, and forty-nine shots from beyond forty feet for two goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13MIN452911+310100513.923:13
2013-14MIN79811190223007410.823:54
2014-15MIN7131417+218001953.224:10
2015-16MIN68257-520000583.520:25
2016-17MIN6832225+520202853.519:34
2017-18MIN7361521+2330001777.821:36
2018-19MIN8241418-15300121113.620:33
2019-20MIN6922628+15240001031.921:33
2020-21MIN5391423+2181027911.422:26
2021-22MIN7352530+9181011264.023:26
2022-23MIN6031114+1330000903.322:52
2023-24 so far—————————————
Career—74147166213+712308199495.022:07

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 11 assists in 60 games — 14 points — at 22:52 a night, the most on the club. Plus-13, 90 shots, 30 penalty minutes.

52.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 67th percentile, with his ice at 42-31 against an expectation of 44.90-41.47 — ten goals better at the defensive end than the chances deserved, on a club whose goaltending was fourth in the league.

He missed twenty-two games and has played more than seventy-five twice in eleven seasons.

Eleven seasons, 741 games, 213 points, all of them in Minnesota.

The Finesse Game

90 shots at a median of 53 feet, 6 per cent from inside twenty and 70 per cent from beyond forty.

Beyond forty: 49 shots on goal, 2 goals. Inside forty: 29 shots, 1 goal.

Three goals in sixty games, and 47 in 741. There is no offensive game here and there never has been; Minnesota does not put him on the power play and has not for years.

89.1 mph at the 39th percentile, on seventeen slap shots. The shot is soft and irrelevant.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 196, and thirty penalty minutes.

Top speed 22.3 mph, the 52nd percentile; bursts 0.7 a game, the 40th; 3.30 miles a game, the 94th percentile.

He defends with skating and reach rather than with contact, closing gaps in the neutral zone and taking away the entry before it happens. At 196 pounds that is the only version of the job available to him, and eleven seasons say it works.

What he does not do is win the front of his own net, and the pairing he plays on gives up chances there.

The Intangibles

Tenth overall in 2011 out of Farjestad, in the league at nineteen, and never anywhere but Minnesota.

52.9 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 62nd percentile.

Twenty-three minutes a night and fourteen points is a defensive defenceman’s line, and Minnesota’s tenth-place expected-goals-against rate is what he is paid for. The availability is the reservation: sixty games last season, and only two seasons above seventy-five in eleven years.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He defends with skating and reach rather than with contact, closing gaps in the neutral zone and taking away the entry before it happens.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “What he does not do is win the front of his own net, and the pairing he plays on gives up chances there.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,096 minutes

Expected goals
52%
67th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.3%
73rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 31 against. Expected: 44.9 and 41.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
74th
Numbers
67th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 60 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
80th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.73 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.30 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.1 mph
35th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.0

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 1096 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
MIN took 50.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.0% — 2.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,096 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matt Dumba51.0%55.4%47.4%
Mats Zuccarello51.5%52.2%52.0%
Matt Boldy63.4%47.4%49.1%

51.0% together, 55.4% for him apart and 47.4% for Dumba apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Dumba behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

109 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 45 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 70% from beyond forty.