This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Matt Boldy
Minnesota Wild Left Wing
Fifty-eight shots on goal from beyond forty feet, and no goals from any of them.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | MIN | 47 | 15 | 24 | 39 | +17 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 113 | 13.3 | 15:23 |
| 2022-23 | MIN | 81 | 31 | 32 | 63 | +1 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 255 | 12.2 | 18:30 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 128 | 46 | 56 | 102 | +18 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 368 | 12.5 | 17:21 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
31 goals and 32 assists in 81 games — 63 points — with eight on the power play and five game-winners. Plus-1, 18:30 a night, 255 shots at 12.2 per cent, 39 penalty minutes.
Thirty-nine points in forty-seven games as a rookie, sixty-three in eighty-one at twenty-two. The rate barely moved and the games did.
53.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 76th percentile, with his ice at 40-33 against an expectation of 45.49-39.92 — five short at one end and seven better at the other.
Two seasons, 128 games, 102 points.
The Finesse Game
255 shots at a median of 27 feet, 34 per cent from inside twenty and 25 per cent from beyond forty.
Beyond forty: 58 shots on goal and no goals at all. Inside forty: 192 shots and 31 goals — 16.15 per cent.
Fifty-eight long shots and nothing to show for them, and every one of his thirty-one goals came from inside forty feet. He and Eriksson Ek between them put 108 shots on goal from beyond forty and scored none.
The close-range rate is the real number: 16.15 per cent on 192 shots is a legitimate top-line finishing season at twenty-two.
96 snap shots out of 379 tracked attempts, the highest count on the club. 96.1 mph at the 84th percentile, on thirty-six slap shots — a heavy shot, and one he does not lean on.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 201, and 39 penalty minutes.
Top speed 22.4 mph, the 58th percentile; bursts 1.0 a game, the 56th; 2.90 miles a game, the 74th. Every reading is above average and none is remarkable.
He is big enough to hold the puck on the wall and does not use it much. At twenty-two on a club with the fourth-worst finishing in the league, adding a physical dimension would be the most valuable thing available to him.
The Intangibles
Twelfth overall in 2019 out of the US National Development Program and Boston College.
48.5 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 39th percentile — a shade to the defensive side, and nothing like Kaprizov’s 67.4.
This is the most valuable asset on the roster after Kaprizov and probably the one to bet on. Sixty-three points at twenty-two from a 43 per cent zone share, with 192 close-range shots and no long-shot habit to unlearn, is as clean a base as a scoring winger gets.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“He is big enough to hold the puck on the wall and does not use it much.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,106 minutes
- Expected goals
- 53.3%
- 77th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.4%
- 64th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 33 against. Expected: 45.5 and 39.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 81 games
- Top speed
- 22.4 mph
- 63rd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.04 a game
- Distance
- 2.90 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 96.1 mph
- 95th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 1106 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- MIN took 50.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.3% — 3.3 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,106 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Gaudreau | 51.7% | 54.2% | 46.0% |
| Matt Dumba | 56.6% | 51.2% | 46.7% |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 56.7% | 51.3% | 49.2% |
51.7% together, 54.2% for him apart and 46.0% for Gaudreau apart. Gaudreau was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Gaudreau than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
377 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 33 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.