Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

70

Jesper Boqvist

Boston Bruins Center

Two penalty minutes in seventy games, and a 14.9 per cent shooting season that will not repeat.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20NJD35404-118100419.810:57
2020-21NJD28437-520013411.811:09
2021-22NJD56101323-9100017413.513:08
2022-23NJD70101121+820026714.911:36
2023-24 so far
Career189282755-172210421613.011:52

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 11 assists in 70 games for New Jersey — 21 points at 11:36 a night, plus-8, on only 67 shots, converting at 14.93 per cent, and 2 penalty minutes.

53.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 768 minutes, the 78th percentile, on a club that won 52 games. His ice went 33-25 against an expectation of 32.18-28.01.

Ten goals on 67 shots is a rate no fourth-line forward sustains, and 28 goals in 189 career games is the truer picture.

The Finesse Game

67 attempts at a median of 19 feet with 52 per cent from inside 20, off a shot measured at 83.8 mph, the 8th percentile.

The shot is soft and the volume is low, so the goals came from position and from a good club creating chances around him. 55 points in 189 games. There is not enough here to project a scoring role, and the club has not signed him for one.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 191 and 2 penalty minutes in 70 games is remarkable even for a player who avoids contact entirely — 22 in 189 for his career.

The skating is decent at 22.5 mph, the 63rd percentile, with 1.5 bursts a game at the 73rd. He is quick in short spaces and he covers only 1.94 miles a game, the 14th percentile, which is what a sheltered eleven-minute role looks like.

The Intangibles

Thirty-sixth overall in 2017 to New Jersey, four seasons there without ever holding a regular job, and a one-year deal here at 24.

He is 24 and out of options in the sense that matters: a second-round pick who has played 189 games in four years is no longer a prospect. Boston has signed him because it needs bodies who can play centre, which is a low bar and the only reason he is in this book.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.03 penalty minutes a game over 70, 1st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “2 penalty minutes in 70 games is remarkable even for a player who avoids contact entirely”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 768 minutes

Expected goals
53.5%
78th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.3%
73rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 25 against. Expected: 32.2 and 28.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
12th
Numbers
78th

The numbers rank him 66 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 58 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 53 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 with NJD · 768 minutes at five-on-five

  • Yegor Sharangovichnow CGY37%
  • Dawson Mercer27%
  • Erik Haula22%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
NJD took 56.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.5% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 768 minutes at five-on-five — 36th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jonas Siegenthaler48.1%56.6%56.9%
Dougie Hamilton54.6%52.8%56.1%
Yegor Sharangovich49.7%55.5%53.1%

48.1% together, 56.6% for him apart and 56.9% for Siegenthaler apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

93 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 52% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.