Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

70

Jesper Boqvist

New Jersey Devils Center

Twenty-three points in fifty-six games at 13:08, the 90th percentile for sprints and the 2nd for penalties drawn.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20NJD35404-118100419.810:57
2020-21NJD28437-520013411.811:09
2021-22NJD56101323-9100017413.513:08
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—119181634-252010214912.112:01

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 13 assists in fifty-six games at 13:08 a night, minus-9, ten penalty minutes. Thirty-sixth overall in 2017, three seasons, 119 games, 34 points, at 23.

Twenty-three points is more than his previous two seasons produced together.

The Finesse Game

1.89 even-strength points per 60 is the 56th percentile and four per cent of his points came on the power play — this was even-strength scoring in a bottom-six role.

6.04 shots per 60 is the 27th percentile at 13.5 per cent, from a 31-foot median at the 93rd with 39 per cent from the slot at the 11th. He shoots from range and it went in at an above-average rate, which is the least stable combination in the file.

85.3 mph is the 18th percentile — a soft shot to be taking from thirty-one feet.

48.8 per cent of the expected goals is the 41st percentile. His ice went 27-29 against an expectation of 28.58-30.03, almost exactly the model — the rare New Jersey line the goaltending did not damage.

The Physical Game

2.53 hits per 60 is the 29th percentile and 1.31 blocks the 31st at 6-1 and 191. There is nothing here.

0.24 penalties drawn per 60 is the 2nd percentile of forwards — almost nobody in the league draws fewer. Against 0.41 taken, the net is the 25th. He is not in the traffic in either direction.

The Intangibles

10.9 bursts over 20 mph per 60 is the 90th percentile and 10.17 miles per 60 is the 91st, from a bottom-six centre playing thirteen minutes. 22.6 mph is only the 58th — quick in bursts and constantly moving without being fast.

He is 23 with 119 games. The skating workload is genuine and the shooting record is a percentage on a small sample from bad ice. The realistic version is a fourth-line centre who skates hard, and twenty-three points is the top of that range rather than the middle.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “10.9 bursts over 20 mph per 60 is the 90th percentile and 10.17 miles per 60 is the 91st, from a bottom-six centre playing thirteen minutes.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 707 minutes

Expected goals
48.8%
46th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.6%
42nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 29 against. Expected: 28.6 and 30.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
46th

The numbers rank him 29 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 53 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 56 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
72nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.39 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.23 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.3 mph
41st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 707 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NJD took 51.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.8% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
707 minutes at five-on-five — 32nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
P.K. Subban51.8%46.9%51.9%
Janne Kuokkanen44.3%51.3%48.0%
Ty Smith51.0%47.6%48.3%

51.8% together, 46.9% for him apart and 51.9% for Subban apart. He was worse away from Subban, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Subban did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

103 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.