Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

16

Jason Dickinson

Chicago Blackhawks Center

Twenty-two goals on 126 shots at 29, which is a 17.46 per cent conversion he has never come close to before.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DAL1101+10000250.011:55
2016-17DAL10202-30000922.211:47
2017-18DAL27022-217000160.08:32
2018-19DAL6761622+923002946.413:22
2019-20DAL6591221+760018510.614:59
2020-21DAL517815-2180026610.616:12
2021-22VAN625611-119000667.613:03
2022-23CHI7892130-29281011147.915:56
2023-24CHI82221335+44320412617.516:34
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—4436178139-16154301057810.514:36

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 22 goals and 13 assists, 2 on the power play, 16:34 a night, and plus-4 on a club that finished 31st. He took 46.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,086 minutes, the 28th percentile, and his ice went 45-36 against an expectation of 35.79-41.30.

A plus-4 on this roster is remarkable and the 22 goals are not repeatable. He converted 17.46 per cent against a career 10.55 across 578 shots, and 22 goals is more than he had scored in any two seasons combined.

The Finesse Game

One hundred and twenty-six shots at a median of 28 feet with 36 per cent from inside 20. The shot is ordinary and the placement last season was not, which is the definition of a year that does not come back.

Thirteen assists in 82 games is the truer measure of the puck skill. He is a straight-line player who arrives on time rather than a man who creates, and 61 goals and 78 assists in 443 games is the career that goes with it.

The Physical Game

He wins the draw that begins the shift and he is the man the club sends out to start in its own end. Forty-three penalty minutes in 82 games is an ordinary rate for a checking centre who takes the hardest defensive assignment every night.

At 6-2 and 200 he is strong enough on the wall to hold a puck for a change and he closes on a defenceman quickly, which is most of why the penalty kill worked.

The Intangibles

The 29th pick in 2013, nine seasons, and a career spent being the fourth-best centre on good clubs and the best available one here. Eighty-two games at 29 on a club that lost fifty-three of them is its own kind of professionalism.

The goals will fall by half. The role will not change, and on a club this thin the role is worth more.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    46.4% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 40.6% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.8, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    38% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 9th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He wins the draw that begins the shift and he is the man the club sends out to start in its own end.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “At 6-2 and 200 he is strong enough on the wall to hold a puck for a change and he closes on a defenceman quickly, which is most of why the penalty kill worked.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,086 minutes

Expected goals
46.4%
28th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.1%
29th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 36 against. Expected: 35.8 and 41.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
11th
Numbers
28th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
46th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.20 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.76 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.7 mph
56th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1086 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CHI took 41.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.4% — 4.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,086 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Joey Anderson48.5%44.6%33.7%
Alex Vlasic56.2%38.9%41.7%
Seth Jones52.9%42.8%43.1%

48.5% together, 44.6% for him apart and 33.7% for Anderson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

176 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 22 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.