Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

16

Jason Dickinson

Chicago Blackhawks Center

Twenty-two goals on 126 shots at 29, which is a 17.46 per cent conversion he has never come close to before.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DAL1101+10000250.011:55
2016-17DAL10202-30000922.211:47
2017-18DAL27022-217000160.08:32
2018-19DAL6761622+923002946.413:22
2019-20DAL6591221+760018510.614:59
2020-21DAL517815-2180026610.616:12
2021-22VAN625611-119000667.613:03
2022-23CHI7892130-29281011147.915:56
2023-24CHI82221335+44320412617.516:34
2024-25 so far
Career4436178139-16154301057810.514:36

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 22 goals and 13 assists, 2 on the power play, 16:34 a night, and plus-4 on a club that finished 31st. He took 42.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,086 minutes, the 7th percentile, and his ice went 28-53 against an expectation of 32.34-44.24.

A plus-4 on this roster is remarkable and the 22 goals are not repeatable. He converted 17.46 per cent against a career 10.55 across 578 shots, and 22 goals is more than he had scored in any two seasons combined.

The Finesse Game

One hundred and twenty-six shots at a median of 28 feet with 36 per cent from inside 20. The shot is ordinary and the placement last season was not, which is the definition of a year that does not come back.

Thirteen assists in 82 games is the truer measure of the puck skill. He is a straight-line player who arrives on time rather than a man who creates, and 61 goals and 78 assists in 443 games is the career that goes with it.

The Physical Game

He wins the draw that begins the shift and he is the man the club sends out to start in its own end. Forty-three penalty minutes in 82 games is an ordinary rate for a checking centre who takes the hardest defensive assignment every night.

At 6-2 and 200 he is strong enough on the wall to hold a puck for a change and he closes on a defenceman quickly, which is most of why the penalty kill worked.

The Intangibles

The 29th pick in 2013, nine seasons, and a career spent being the fourth-best centre on good clubs and the best available one here. Eighty-two games at 29 on a club that lost fifty-three of them is its own kind of professionalism.

The goals will fall by half. The role will not change, and on a club this thin the role is worth more.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,086 minutes

Expected goals
42.2%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46%
22nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 53 against. Expected: 32.3 and 44.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
26th
Numbers
8th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1086 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CHI took 41.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.2% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,086 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Joey Anderson41.8%42.6%34.2%
Alex Vlasic49.6%37.0%42.0%
Colin Blackwell46.1%40.1%34.8%

41.8% together, 42.6% for him apart and 34.2% for Anderson apart. Anderson was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Anderson than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

176 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 22 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.