Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

5

Brenden Dillon

New Jersey Devils Defense

Undrafted, 892 games, 858 penalty minutes, and plus-20 in Winnipeg at 33.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12DAL10000000060.019:59
2012-13DAL48358+165001754.021:23
2013-14DAL8061117+986021976.221:06
2014-15DAL/SJS802810-1377011912.219:34
2015-16SJS762911+861001932.116:41
2016-17SJS812810-260000862.316:28
2017-18SJS8151722-760000885.717:19
2018-19SJS8212122+1961010711.417:45
2019-20SJS/WSH6911314-2104000581.719:28
2020-21WSH5621719+1549000513.918:57
2021-22WPG7931720+1667000853.518:50
2022-23WPG8222123+276000832.419:35
2023-24WPG7781220+20920027910.118:44
2024-25 so far
Career89237159196+668580469633.818:43

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games in Winnipeg, 8 goals and 12 assists for 20 points, 92 penalty minutes, 18:44 a night and plus-20. He took 50.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,231 minutes, the 53rd percentile, and his ice went 53-42 against an expectation of 49.04-49.13, all of it with the Jets.

Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and seven fewer conceded than they called for. Winnipeg had the best goaltending in the league last season and the plus-20 should be read with that in front of it.

The Finesse Game

79 shots at a median of 58 feet with 86 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 10.1 per cent against a career 3.84.

159 career assists in 892 games and 37 goals. Eight goals is a career high by two and it came from putting the puck at the net from the blue line more often than usual. There is no puck-carrying at all.

The Physical Game

He hits as hard as anybody in the league at 6-4 and 225, and 858 career penalty minutes in 892 games is what thirteen seasons of it costs.

He will fight anybody, clears the crease, and cannot be moved from in front of his own net. He blocks shots, kills penalties, and has 4 career shorthanded goals.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of New Westminster, thirteen seasons across five organisations, and 196 points in 892 games at a career plus-66.

He is 33 and has played almost nine hundred games without ever being drafted. On a club that lost sixteen goals to its crease and had two twenty-year-olds on its top four, this is exactly the signing to make.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,231 minutes

Expected goals
50%
53rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.2%
49th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 53 for, 42 against. Expected: 49.0 and 49.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
48th
Numbers
53rd

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with WPG · 1231 minutes at five-on-five

  • Neal Pionk75%
  • Dylan DeMelo10%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WPG took 52.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.0% — 2.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,231 minutes at five-on-five — 85th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Neal Pionk46.8%58.2%53.8%
Mason Appleton49.4%50.2%52.1%
Adam Lowry53.6%48.4%55.5%

46.8% together, 58.2% for him apart and 53.8% for Pionk apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

119 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 60 feet. 5% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 86% from beyond forty.