This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Jason Dickinson

24.1 mph at the 99th percentile, thirty points, and an ice that conceded 67 goals.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2015-16	DAL	1	1	0	1	+1	0	0	0	0	2	50.0	11:55
2016-17	DAL	10	2	0	2	-3	0	0	0	0	9	22.2	11:47
2017-18	DAL	27	0	2	2	-2	17	0	0	0	16	0.0	8:32
2018-19	DAL	67	6	16	22	+9	23	0	0	2	94	6.4	13:22
2019-20	DAL	65	9	12	21	+7	6	0	0	1	85	10.6	14:59
2020-21	DAL	51	7	8	15	-2	18	0	0	2	66	10.6	16:12
2021-22	VAN	62	5	6	11	-1	19	0	0	0	66	7.6	13:03
2022-23	CHI	78	9	21	30	-29	28	1	0	1	114	7.9	15:56
2023-24 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	361	39	65	104	-20	111	1	0	6	452	8.6	14:09

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 21 assists in 78 games — 30 points at 15:56 a night, minus-29, with 114 shots at 7.89 per cent. It is a career high in points.

44.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,023 minutes, the 15th percentile. His ice went 32-67 against an expectation of 33.67-42.65 — twenty-four goals worse than the chances predicted at the defensive end, which is the largest such gap on the roster and is very largely the goaltending.

Chicago’s goaltending graded minus-21.1, thirtieth in the league. A checking centre taking defensive-zone draws in front of a .894 will produce a number like this one and it will not mean what it looks like.

The Finesse Game

114 attempts at a median of 27 feet, 38 per cent from inside twenty. Five goals on 41 shots from inside twenty, four from the middle band, none on the 25 he took from beyond forty.

39 goals and 104 points in 361 career games at 8.63 per cent. He is a bottom-six centre who kills penalties and takes hard faceoffs, and 30 points is the ceiling of that job rather than a disappointment.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 200, and his top speed is 24.1 mph, the 99th percentile, with 2.62 miles a game at the 54th and 1.1 bursts at the 60th.

Two Chicago forwards measured at the 99th percentile in top speed last season and both played on a club that finished 31st in shot attempts. Speed is not a possession statistic and this roster is the proof.

28 penalty minutes at sixteen minutes a night in the defensive-zone role. He is trusted a man short, which is most of what the club valued.

The Intangibles

Twenty-ninth overall by Dallas in 2013, eight seasons, and a career spent being the third-line centre a good club wants and a bad club has to play higher.

38.9 per cent of his even-strength shifts started in the offensive zone, the 10th percentile. He took the hard minutes on a team that had no easy ones.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
78 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He is trusted a man short”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,023 minutes

Expected goals: 44.1%; 15th pct
Shot attempts: 45.1%; 18th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 67 against. Expected: 33.7 and 42.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

65th

Numbers

15th

The report ranks him 50 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 141 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 1023 minutes at five-on-five

Sam Laffertynow VAN32%
Andreas Athanasiou27%
Tyler Johnson25%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club: CHI took 42.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.1% — 1.7 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 1,023 minutes at five-on-five — 61st percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Seth Jones	45.7%	43.0%	47.1%
Sam Lafferty	43.1%	44.6%	42.6%
Caleb Jones	48.0%	42.2%	44.5%

45.7% together, 43.0% for him apart and 47.1% for Jones apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

150 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.