Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

16

Jason Dickinson

Chicago Blackhawks Center

16 points, a 40.5 per cent chance share — the 2nd percentile — and a checking centre asked to check the whole league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DAL1101+10000250.011:55
2016-17DAL10202-30000922.211:47
2017-18DAL27022-217000160.08:32
2018-19DAL6761622+923002946.413:22
2019-20DAL6591221+760018510.614:59
2020-21DAL517815-2180026610.616:12
2021-22VAN625611-119000667.613:03
2022-23CHI7892130-29281011147.915:56
2023-24CHI82221335+44320412617.516:34
2024-25CHI597916-11380005612.515:42
2025-26 so far
Career5026887155-27192301063410.714:44

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 9 assists in 59 games for 16 points, minus-11, on 15:42 a night.

40.5 per cent at five-on-five, the 2nd percentile among all skaters. His on-ice goals were 27-42 against an expected 20-30, so the underlying play was as bad as the share and the goaltending made it worse.

The Finesse Game

Very little. 56 shots in 59 games and 7 goals, and 9 assists — there is no offensive contribution to project and there never has been beyond one 17-goal season.

He wins the puck back and moves it simply. That is the job.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 200, and he plays an honest defensive game. He blocks shots, takes the hardest defensive-zone draws on the roster, and does not shy away from anything.

38 penalty minutes over 59 games. The durability has been mixed.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick who became a checking centre, four organisations, and a season in which he was given the impossible assignment on the worst possession team in the league.

A 2nd-percentile share is a genuine signal and it needs the context: he starts nearly every shift in his own zone against the other club’s best line, on a team that cannot get out of it. He is a useful fourth-line centre being used as a third.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 755 minutes

Expected goals
40.5%
2nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44%
8th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 42 against. Expected: 20.4 and 30.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
41st
Numbers
2nd

The report ranks him 39 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 755 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CHI took 43.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 40.5% — 2.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 755 minutes at five-on-five — 33rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ilya Mikheyev45.8%34.5%48.1%
Alex Vlasic41.1%39.9%42.2%
Teuvo Teravainen43.0%39.0%46.7%

45.8% together, 34.5% for him apart and 48.1% for Mikheyev apart. He was worse away from Mikheyev, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Mikheyev did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

92 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.