Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

15

Colin Blackwell

Dallas Stars Center

Five foot eight, a seventh-round pick, and 235 games at 31 — the entire career is the achievement.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19NSH6000-1200050.09:44
2019-20NSH273710+710000319.710:57
2020-21NYR47121022+2153026418.814:00
2021-22SEA/TOR581010200140217713.011:56
2022-23CHI532810-166000533.811:48
2023-24CHI448412-210102889.114:30
2024-25 so far
Career235353974-105742531811.012:38

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Forty-four games in Chicago, 8 goals and 4 assists with 1 on the power play, 14:30 a night and minus-2. He converted 9.09 per cent of 88 shots.

He took 42.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 552 minutes, the 7th percentile, and his ice went 14-24 against an expectation of 17.61-24.12. Chicago finished 32nd in shot share and the number is mostly that; it is still the worst chance share on this roster by five points.

The Finesse Game

Eighty-eight shots in 44 games at a median of 30 feet is a high volume for a fourth-line winger. Eight went in.

Thirty-five goals and 39 assists in 235 career games. There is no playmaking game and there never was — the puck goes to the net or to the wall.

The Physical Game

He is 5-8 and 181 and finishes his checks against men eight inches taller. Ten penalty minutes in 44 games is a low rate for a forward who initiates that much.

He forechecks aggressively and he is first in on the puck, and at that size it is the only way the shift works. He does not win the wall against defencemen.

The Intangibles

A seventh-round pick, 194th overall in 2011 out of North Andover, four years at Harvard, four in the minors, and a first regular job at 27. He has now played 235 games.

He is 31 and the thirteenth forward on a hundred-point club. For a 5-8 seventh-round pick, the career is the story and the numbers are a footnote.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 552 minutes

Expected goals
42.2%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.3%
38th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 24 against. Expected: 17.6 and 24.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
26th
Numbers
8th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with CHI · 552 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CHI took 41.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.2% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 552 minutes at five-on-five — 21st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jason Dickinson46.1%34.8%40.1%
Joey Anderson41.6%42.8%38.8%
Alex Vlasic50.2%37.5%43.3%

46.1% together, 34.8% for him apart and 40.1% for Dickinson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

108 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.