Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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43

Jacob Moverare

Los Angeles Kings Defense

Forty-five games in three seasons at 26, and a shot median of fifty-nine feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22LAK19022+32000150.016:20
2022-23LAK2000-1000060.014:58
2023-24LAK2410106000119.110:27
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—45123+28000323.113:08

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

24 games, 1 goal and no assists, 6 penalty minutes, 10:27 a night and even. He took 52.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 238 minutes, the 68th percentile, and his ice went 10-12 against an expectation of 10.12-9.33.

Twenty-four games at ten and a half minutes is the seventh-defenceman assignment and he came out of it even. There is not enough here to draw a conclusion from.

The Finesse Game

11 shots at a median of 59 feet, 82 per cent of them from beyond 40.

Two career assists in 45 games. He is a defensive defenceman with no puck-moving to describe. He puts it off the glass and changes.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 205 and defends with position rather than force.

6 penalty minutes in 24 games is a very low rate. He blocks shots and holds the front of his net, and he does not chase men into corners.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2016 out of Ostersund, three seasons, and 3 points in 45 games at 26.

He has been in the organisation for eight years and has 45 games. That is the whole of the projection.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots and holds the front of his net, and he does not chase men into corners.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He blocks shots and holds the front of his net, and he does not chase men into corners.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He is a defensive defenceman with no puck-moving to describe.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He is a defensive defenceman with no puck-moving to describe.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-3 and 205 and defends with position rather than force.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 238 minutes

Expected goals
52%
68th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.5%
41st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 12 against. Expected: 10.1 and 9.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
5th
Numbers
68th

The numbers rank him 63 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 24 games

Top speed
20.9 mph
18th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.29 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.50 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.5 mph
25th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 238 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
LAK took 54.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.0% — 2.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
238 minutes at five-on-five — 3rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Drew Doughty43.2%58.4%55.9%
Matt Roy61.7%44.3%54.8%
Alex Laferriere52.4%51.9%50.8%

43.2% together, 58.4% for him apart and 55.9% for Doughty apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

17 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 42 feet. 0% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 82% from beyond forty.