Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

8

Drew Doughty

Los Angeles Kings Defense

Twenty-five forty-eight a night at 34, second in the edition, and 1,177 games without missing much.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2008-09LAK8162127-17563011264.823:50
2009-10LAK82164359+205490514211.324:59
2010-11LAK76112940+13685031397.925:39
2011-12LAK77102636-2693031685.924:54
2012-13LAK4861622+4363001145.326:24
2013-14LAK78102737+17646021775.725:43
2014-15LAK8273946+3561022193.229:00
2015-16LAK82143751+24529131977.128:01
2016-17LAK82123244+8465011816.627:09
2017-18LAK82105060+23543142054.926:50
2018-19LAK8283745-34447011545.226:36
2019-20LAK6772835-16365021415.025:49
2020-21LAK5682634-14266001017.926:23
2021-22LAK3972431+430401997.125:44
2022-23LAK8194352+12344021456.226:14
2023-24LAK82153550+154470313511.125:48
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—1177156513669+607698023324436.426:13

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 15 goals and 35 assists for 50 points, 7 on the power play, 44 penalty minutes, 25:48 a night and plus-15. He took 55.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,598 minutes, the 87th percentile, and his ice went 60-44 against an expectation of 67.89-55.51.

Eight goals of scoring that did not arrive on his ice and eleven fewer conceded than the chances called for. The 25:48 is second in this edition behind John Carlson’s 25:54 and the 1,598 five-on-five minutes are fifth.

The Finesse Game

135 shots at a median of 51 feet with 74 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 11.1 per cent against a career 6.4.

513 career assists in 1,177 games. Fifteen goals at that shot profile is a season that will not repeat and the assists are the real number. He walks the line, holds it under pressure, and makes the first pass out of trouble as well as anybody of his age in the league.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 210 and defends with position and stick rather than weight.

769 career penalty minutes in 1,177 games is a moderate rate for a defenceman who has played this many hard minutes. He blocks shots, kills penalties and clears the front of his net, and he will say something about it afterwards.

The Intangibles

Second overall in 2008 out of London, Ontario, sixteen seasons, 1,177 games and two Stanley Cups, all of it for one organisation. He has a Norris Trophy and an Olympic gold medal.

He is 34 and plays more than all but one man in this edition. Everything about the profile says the fall is coming and nothing in last season’s numbers says it has started.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    12 of 137 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 8.8%, 100th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    5 of his 15 goals late or in overtime, 94th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    19:29 a game at five-on-five, 97th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots, kills penalties and clears the front of his net, and he will say something about it afterwards.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He blocks shots, kills penalties and clears the front of his net, and he will say something about it afterwards.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He blocks shots, kills penalties and clears the front of his net, and he will say something about it afterwards.”

  • agitatora strength· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He blocks shots, kills penalties and clears the front of his net, and he will say something about it afterwards.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He walks the line, holds it under pressure, and makes the first pass out of trouble as well as anybody of his age in the league.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He is 6-1 and 210 and defends with position and stick rather than weight.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “Second overall in 2008 out of London, Ontario, sixteen seasons, 1,177 games and two Stanley Cups, all of it for one organisation.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,598 minutes

Expected goals
55%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.6%
88th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 60 for, 44 against. Expected: 67.9 and 55.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
90th
Numbers
87th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
68th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.43 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.58 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
99.2 mph
91st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1598 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
LAK took 54.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.0% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,598 minutes at five-on-five — 99th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mikey Anderson53.9%57.9%47.3%
Anze Kopitar53.9%55.6%49.9%
Quinton Byfield57.3%54.1%54.0%

53.9% together, 57.9% for him apart and 47.3% for Anderson apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Anderson behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

184 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 45 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.