Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

43

Jacob Moverare

Los Angeles Kings Defense

A 57.7 per cent chance share in 530 minutes, and 0 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22LAK19022+32000150.016:20
2022-23LAK2000-1000060.014:58
2023-24LAK2410106000119.110:27
2024-25LAK49178+210000303.311:52
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—942911+418000623.212:28

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 7 assists in 49 games for 8 points, plus-2, on 11:52 a night.

56.3 per cent at five-on-five, the 94th percentile, over 530 minutes in the smallest defensive role on the club. His on-ice goals were 25-22 against an expected 21.3-16.5, which is four goals of finishing above expectation and six conceded above it, on a very small sample.

Not one of his 30 shots came from inside 20 feet.

The Finesse Game

None. 30 shots in 49 games, 1 goal, and 84 per cent of the attempts from beyond 40 feet — the offensive contribution is keeping a puck alive at the line.

7 assists is what a seventh defenceman produces. There is nothing to project.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 205, and he defends properly. He boxes out, takes contact, and blocks shots without theatre.

10 penalty minutes over 49 games. Disciplined and rarely beaten badly.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick, seven American League seasons, and a genuine NHL role at 26 on a club that values exactly what he does.

The projection is a seventh defenceman who plays 50 games. On a club that concedes the fewest chances in the league, a man who does one thing and never attempts a second is worth having.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He boxes out, takes contact, and blocks shots without theatre.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “blocks shots without theatre”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “6-3 and 205, and he defends properly.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 530 minutes

Expected goals
56.3%
94th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.8%
81st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 22 against. Expected: 21.3 and 16.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
94th

The numbers rank him 77 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 49 games

Top speed
20.4 mph
12th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.06 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.72 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.6 mph
17th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 530 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
LAK took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.3% — 2.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 530 minutes at five-on-five — 18th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Spence59.1%51.0%55.3%
Kevin Fiala62.6%52.7%56.5%
Alex Laferriere59.2%54.8%56.0%

59.1% together, 51.0% for him apart and 55.3% for Spence apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

43 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 46 feet. 0% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 84% from beyond forty.