Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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95

Ilya Mikheyev

Chicago Blackhawks Right Wing

20 goals and a plus-4 on a club that was minus-66, which is the strangest arithmetic in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20TOR3981523+74011988.215:35
2020-21TOR5471017+560021076.514:13
2021-22TOR53211132+162644414714.315:16
2022-23VAN46131528+321029114.316:55
2023-24VAN78112031+140011477.514:16
2024-25CHI80201434+41603313814.515:41
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—3508085165+3658581372811.015:14

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 14 assists in 80 games for 34 points, plus-4 on a club with a minus-66 goal differential — a swing of 70 against the team’s own rate, and the only plus rating on the roster — on 15:41 a night with 3 shorthanded goals.

48.1 per cent at five-on-five, the 35th percentile and the best on the club. His on-ice goals were 44-48 against an expected 32-35, so the plus-4 came from special teams and the five-on-five results ran badly against him.

The Finesse Game

The speed is the tool and it is genuinely high-end. He is among the faster wingers in the league in a straight line and uses it to forecheck and to score shorthanded — 3 of his 20 goals came a man down.

46 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet, so the 14.5 per cent rate is well supported. The hands do not keep up with the feet and 14 assists says the playmaking is not a second option; he arrives and shoots.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 192, and he plays a hard, straight, honest game. He forechecks at speed, blocks shots, and is trusted defensively.

16 penalty minutes over 80 games is exceptional discipline. The body has cost him — a serious knee injury and a lacerated wrist have both taken large parts of seasons.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, arrived from Russia at 25, and has built a career on speed and reliability rather than skill.

At 31 the legs are the whole projection and there is nothing underneath them. He is the most obviously tradeable useful player on this roster.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    48.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 41.8% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.3, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “uses it to forecheck and to score shorthanded — 3 of his 20 goals came a man down”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks at speed, blocks shots, and is trusted defensively.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He forechecks at speed, blocks shots, and is trusted defensively.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “is trusted defensively”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The hands do not keep up with the feet and 14 assists says the playmaking is not a second option; he arrives and shoots.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, arrived from Russia at 25, and has built a career on speed and reliability rather than skill.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,009 minutes

Expected goals
48.1%
36th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.8%
32nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 48 against. Expected: 32.4 and 34.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
36th

The report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
23.2 mph
92nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.48 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.47 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.7 mph
77th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1009 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CHI took 43.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.1% — 4.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,009 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Teuvo Teravainen48.2%48.1%44.9%
Alex Vlasic50.5%46.4%40.0%
Jason Dickinson45.6%49.7%34.2%

48.2% together, 48.1% for him apart and 44.9% for Teravainen apart. Teravainen was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Teravainen than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

176 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.