Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

19

Drake Batherson

Ottawa Senators Right Wing

68 points and 13 power-play goals on the club with the most power-play time in the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19OTT20369-262021816.713:25
2019-20OTT233710-1213100329.415:34
2020-21OTT56171734-17850311115.316:28
2021-22OTT46172744+43230311015.418:56
2022-23OTT82224062-353314022498.818:36
2023-24OTT82283866-94270419614.318:10
2024-25OTT82264268-930130319213.518:09
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—391116177293-801644501790812.817:42

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 42 assists in 82 games — 68 points at 18:09 a night, with 13 of the goals on the power play, second on the club only to the captain.

49.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 62nd percentile. His ice went 35-42 against an expectation of 42.37-43.35, which is a forward whose results and chances agree — the only one of the club’s top four to whom that applies.

The Finesse Game

The shot is the skill and it is a good one: 192 attempts at a median of 26 feet, 40 per cent of them from inside 20, converting at 13.5 per cent. He finds the soft ice in the offensive zone and arrives there without the puck, which is a harder thing than it sounds.

42 assists says the passing is real too, and on the power play he is the release valve — the man the penalty kill has to account for when it has already committed to Tkachuk in the paint.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 209 and he plays smaller than that. He is not a forechecker and he does not finish checks; 30 penalty minutes in 82 games is a winger who is simply not involved in that part of the game.

He will take a hit to make a play and he does not retaliate. On a roster built out of heavy men he is the one skill forward who is allowed to be light.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2017 — 121st overall — who is now 391 games and 293 points into an NHL career, all of it in Ottawa. The minus-80 is a record of the seasons more than the player.

He turned 27 in the spring, has scored between 22 and 28 goals in four straight full seasons, and is exactly what the club thought it was getting three years ago.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He finds the soft ice in the offensive zone and arrives there without the puck, which is a harder thing than it sounds.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He is not a forechecker and he does not finish checks; 30 penalty minutes in 82 games is a winger who is simply not involved in that part of the game.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is not a forechecker and he does not finish checks; 30 penalty minutes in 82 games is a winger who is simply not involved in that part of the game.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He will take a hit to make a play and he does not retaliate.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,087 minutes

Expected goals
49.4%
48th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.5%
47th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 42 against. Expected: 42.4 and 43.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
55th
Numbers
48th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
69th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.16 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.93 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.6 mph
95th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1087 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
OTT took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.4% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,087 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Thomas Chabot53.2%46.5%52.3%
Joshua Norris46.3%51.3%46.2%
Jake Sanderson52.9%47.6%51.1%

53.2% together, 46.5% for him apart and 52.3% for Chabot apart. He was worse away from Chabot, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Chabot did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

282 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.