Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

24

Jake Bean

Calgary Flames Defense

Thirty-one goals for against sixty-six on his ice, and the eleventh percentile of chances.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19CAR20000200010.08:28
2020-21CAR4211112-210100551.814:32
2021-22CBJ6771825-526002907.820:34
2022-23CBJ14156-26000166.315:42
2023-24CBJ724913-1032000765.316:20
2024-25 so far
Career197134356-19761022385.517:16

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 9 assists in 72 games for Columbus — 13 points at 16:20 a night, minus-10, on 76 shots at 5.26 per cent, and 32 penalty minutes.

43.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,076 minutes, the 11th percentile. His ice went 31-66 against an expectation of 39.41-51.90 — eight goals of scoring missing and fourteen conceded above expectation. A thirty-five-goal deficit in a thousand minutes is the worst on-ice ledger of any defenceman on this roster.

The Finesse Game

76 attempts at a median of 50 feet, with 68 per cent from beyond 40 and 6 per cent from inside 20, converting at 5.26 per cent. Thirteen goals in 197 career games.

He carries the puck out of his own zone rather than passing it out, and 43 career assists in 197 games is the whole of why a first-round pick has stayed in the league. The skating is genuinely good.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 191 and light. He does not clear his crease, he does not win battles below the goal line, and the defending is stick and feet.

32 penalty minutes in 72 games and 76 in 197 for his career is a low rate, and it is low because he is beaten cleanly rather than forced into a foul.

The Intangibles

Thirteenth overall in 2016 by Carolina, and 197 NHL games and 56 points at 26 across three clubs, none of whom have kept him.

He was signed here in the summer. A first-round defenceman with the eleventh percentile of chances and an on-ice ledger of 31-66 is a specific and unusual bet, and the argument is that Columbus was 31st in the league at suppressing chances and this club is 17th.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,076 minutes

Expected goals
43.2%
11th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.5%
24th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 66 against. Expected: 39.4 and 51.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
20th
Numbers
11th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with CBJ · 1076 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CBJ took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.2% — 2.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,076 minutes at five-on-five — 68th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Erik Gudbranson44.5%41.5%43.5%
Johnny Gaudreau39.0%44.8%52.4%
Cole Sillinger38.8%44.8%44.5%

44.5% together, 41.5% for him apart and 43.5% for Gudbranson apart. He was worse away from Gudbranson, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Gudbranson did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

98 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.