This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Brady Tkachuk
Ottawa Senators Left Wing
Fourth in the league in shots on goal and second in penalty minutes, and the only man in the top five of both.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | OTT | 71 | 22 | 23 | 45 | -10 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 214 | 10.3 | 16:01 |
| 2019-20 | OTT | 71 | 21 | 23 | 44 | -14 | 106 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 259 | 8.1 | 18:56 |
| 2020-21 | OTT | 56 | 17 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 7.7 | 18:14 |
| 2021-22 | OTT | 79 | 30 | 37 | 67 | -7 | 117 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 288 | 10.4 | 18:48 |
| 2022-23 | OTT | 82 | 35 | 48 | 83 | -10 | 126 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 347 | 10.1 | 18:38 |
| 2023-24 | OTT | 81 | 37 | 37 | 74 | +1 | 134 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 357 | 10.4 | 19:09 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 440 | 162 | 187 | 349 | -57 | 627 | 43 | 0 | 20 | 1685 | 9.6 | 18:20 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
81 games, 37 goals and 37 assists for 74 points, 12 on the power play, 134 penalty minutes, 19:09 a night and plus-1. He took 55.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,203 minutes, the 89th percentile and the best chance share on the club, and his ice went 64-59 against an expectation of 62.97-50.98.
One goal of finishing above what the chances were worth and eight more conceded than they called for, which on this club was the crease rather than the winger. Thirty-seven goals is a career high and 74 points his second-best season.
The Finesse Game
477 attempts at a median of 23 feet with 45 per cent of them from inside twenty, 357 of those on goal, converted at 10.4 per cent against a career 9.61 across 1,685 shots.
357 shots on goal was fourth in the league. He is not a natural finisher and has never shot better than eleven per cent over a season; the goals come from volume and from where he stands. Forty-three career power-play goals in 440 games, almost all of them from the blue paint.
The Physical Game
He is 6-4 and 226 and took 134 penalty minutes, second in the league.
627 career penalty minutes in 440 games. He forechecks by driving the defenceman into his own end boards and he stands in front of the goaltender until somebody moves him, which mostly nobody does. The whole of the offensive game is built on being the largest man in the slot.
The Intangibles
Fourth overall in 2018, six seasons, 349 points in 440 games, and the captain in Ottawa.
A career minus-57 on a club that has not made the playoffs in any of his six seasons is a fact about Ottawa rather than about him. He is 25 and has been the best player and the loudest presence on this roster for four years.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
55.3% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 45.9% for his club in the minutes he sat: +9.4, 98th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
- workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:51 a game at five-on-five, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
“He forechecks by driving the defenceman into his own end boards and he stands in front of the goaltender until somebody moves him, which mostly nobody does.”
“He is 6-4 and 226 and took 134 penalty minutes, second in the league.”
“Fourth overall in 2018, six seasons, 349 points in 440 games, and the captain in Ottawa.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,203 minutes
- Expected goals
- 55.3%
- 89th pct
- Shot attempts
- 56%
- 92nd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 64 for, 59 against. Expected: 63.0 and 51.0.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 81 games
- Top speed
- 22.4 mph
- 60th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.10 a game
- Distance
- 2.70 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 97.0 mph
- 96th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1203 minutes at five-on-five
- Shane Pinto32%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.3% — 6.1 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,203 minutes at five-on-five — 83rd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Batherson | 52.1% | 57.4% | 45.7% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 51.6% | 57.7% | 45.5% |
| Jake Sanderson | 58.1% | 53.5% | 49.5% |
52.1% together, 57.4% for him apart and 45.7% for Batherson apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Batherson behind.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
477 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 38 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.