Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

21

Conor Timmins

Buffalo Sabres Defense

A right-shot depth defenceman on his fourth organisation at 27, with a plus-11 and 15 points.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20COL2000+2000010.010:25
2020-21COL31077+68000310.013:33
2021-22ARI6000-6000050.017:45
2022-23ARI/TOR2721214-180011910.515:06
2023-24TOR251910+918000254.016:01
2024-25TOR/PIT6831215+1130000694.316:55
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—15964046+21640011504.015:46

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 12 assists in 68 games for 15 points, plus-11, on 16:55 a night between Toronto and Buffalo.

68 games is comfortably a career high for a defenceman whose seasons have usually been interrupted. The plus-11 came largely in Toronto and should be read as the club rather than the player.

The Finesse Game

The puck game is the reason he keeps getting jobs. He moves it early and accurately, he sees an outlet under pressure, and he was a genuine offensive prospect in junior before the injuries.

69 shots in 68 games and 3 goals; the offence has never translated. What survives is a defenceman who does not stall a breakout, which is a real third-pair skill.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 213, and he does not use it. He defends with position and stick and is not a factor in front of his own net.

30 penalty minutes over 68 games. The concussions earlier in his career are the reason four organisations have had him and none has kept him long.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick whose first three professional seasons were largely lost to injury, and who has made himself into a serviceable NHL defenceman anyway.

The projection is a seventh defenceman who plays 50 games. On a blue line this crowded at the top and this thin behind it, that is a genuinely useful thing to have.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He moves it early and accurately, he sees an outlet under pressure”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He defends with position and stick”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He defends with position and stick and is not a factor in front of his own net.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-3 and 213, and he does not use it.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 962 minutes

Expected goals
52.5%
74th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.9%
72nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 28 against. Expected: 39.6 and 35.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
13th
Numbers
74th

The numbers rank him 61 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 68 games

Top speed
20.8 mph
19th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.24 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.43 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.5 mph
75th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with TOR · 740 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PIT took 49.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.5% — 3.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
962 minutes at five-on-five — 56th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Simon Benoit46.8%56.8%43.2%
William Nylander51.9%52.7%50.3%
Max Domi52.2%52.5%47.3%

46.8% together, 56.8% for him apart and 43.2% for Benoit apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Benoit behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

109 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 78% from beyond forty.