Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Conor Timmins

Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Conor Timmins

Buffalo Sabres Defense #21

70 shots, no goals, and the longest average shot distance in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20COL2000+2000010.010:25
2020-21COL31077+68000310.013:33
2021-22ARI6000-6000050.017:45
2022-23ARI/TOR2721214-180011910.515:06
2023-24TOR251910+918000254.016:01
2024-25TOR/PIT6831215+1130000694.316:55
2025-26BUF39088-818000440.018:46
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—19864854+13820011943.116:21

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

No goals and 8 assists in 39 games, minus-8, at 18:46 a night. 6 goals in 198 career games.

The Finesse Game

The shot chart is almost a curiosity. 70 unblocked attempts, none of which went in, from a median distance of 58 feet — the longest of any player in this edition — with 87 per cent coming from beyond 40 and exactly 1 per cent from inside 20.

He is standing at the blue line putting pucks toward the net and nothing else. The passing is the better part; 48 assists in 198 games is a fair rate for a third-pair defenceman who moves it quickly.

The Physical Game

6-3, 213, and he does not use it. 18 penalty minutes in 39 games, and in front of his own net he gets outworked by wingers he outweighs.

Concussions cost him most of 2 seasons early on, and it is fair to wonder how much of the reluctance dates from that.

The Intangibles

The results were bad. 46 and a half per cent of the expected goals, 25th percentile; 44.6 per cent of the shot attempts, 9th percentile. The goals went 23-30 against in 602 minutes.

He is 27, a second-round pick, on his fourth organisation, and he keeps getting 18 minutes a night from somebody. The passing explains why. The rest of the page explains why it keeps being somebody new.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    87.1% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 98th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 602 minutes

Expected goals
46.8%
27th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.6%
10th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 30 against. Expected: 23.1 and 26.2.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
1st
Numbers
27th

The numbers rank him 26 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 39 games

Top speed
21.0 mph
27th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.28 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.56 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
101.1 mph
98th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 3 assists, 23 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 602 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
BUF took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.8% — 4.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
602 minutes at five-on-five — 24th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Bowen Byram44.1%48.5%50.2%
Owen Power48.9%46.0%50.7%
Ryan McLeod49.4%45.7%53.7%

44.1% together, 48.5% for him apart and 50.2% for Byram apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

70 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 0 of them goals. 1% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 87% from beyond forty.