Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
8

Henry Thrun

Toronto Maple Leafs Defense

Minus-23 in 60 games on the worst club in the league, and a career minus-48 in 119.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23SJS8022-3000070.019:52
2023-24SJS513811-2216200486.320:00
2024-25SJS6021012-2330000523.917:31
2025-26 so far
Career11952025-48462001074.718:44

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 10 assists in 60 games for San Jose — 12 points at 17:31 a night, minus-23, with 30 penalty minutes.

San Jose finished last in the league in both goals for and goals against, so a minus-23 from a second-pairing defenceman there is close to unreadable. What the season does establish is that he played seventeen and a half minutes a night on a club that had nobody else.

The Finesse Game

52 attempts in 60 games and 2 goals. There is no shot: 25 points in 119 career NHL games.

10 assists. The skating and the first pass are the reason he plays — he escapes a forecheck by turning away from it and he is comfortable carrying the puck through the neutral zone, which on San Jose’s blue line was a scarce commodity.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 211 and honest without being heavy. He blocks shots and he defends positionally, and he does not clear the front of his own net by force.

30 penalty minutes in 60 games is a moderate rate. He is not physical by instinct and the edge is not part of the appeal.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick of Anaheim in 2019 out of Harvard, who did not sign there and became a free agent — San Jose signed him in 2023.

119 games and 25 points. He is 24 and Toronto acquired him in the summer for a fourth-round pick, which on a blue line whose regulars are 31, 34, 32, 35 and 28 is a sensible thing to own.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 887 minutes

Expected goals
39.2%
1st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.1%
3rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 40 against. Expected: 26.9 and 41.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
21st
Numbers
1st

The report ranks him 20 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with SJS · 887 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SJS took 44.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 39.2% — 5.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 887 minutes at five-on-five — 43rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
William Eklund48.7%35.8%49.8%
Fabian Zetterlund39.3%39.2%45.9%
Macklin Celebrini41.7%38.4%51.8%

48.7% together, 35.8% for him apart and 49.8% for Eklund apart. He was worse away from Eklund, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Eklund did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

71 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.