This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Owen Tippett

20 goals and the 84th percentile of chances, in the third straight season his shooting percentage has fallen.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2017-18	FLA	7	1	0	1	-6	0	0	0	0	17	5.9	11:07
2020-21	FLA	45	7	11	18	-5	6	2	0	2	86	8.1	11:29
2021-22	FLA/PHI	63	10	11	21	-2	12	1	0	1	126	7.9	13:25
2022-23	PHI	77	27	22	49	-17	16	8	0	4	231	11.7	17:26
2023-24	PHI	78	28	25	53	-5	12	5	0	4	289	9.7	16:35
2024-25	PHI	77	20	23	43	-12	16	0	0	2	188	10.6	16:00
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	347	93	92	185	-47	62	16	0	13	937	9.9	15:18

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 23 assists in 77 games — 43 points at 16:00 a night, minus-12, on 188 shots and only 16 penalty minutes.

53.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 84th percentile. His ice went 40-46 against an expectation of 38.66-34.11 — five goals better than expected for and nine worse against, which is the goaltending again.

The Finesse Game

188 attempts at a median of 32 feet with 27 per cent from inside 20, converting at 10.6 per cent. He has scored 27, 28 and 20 in three full seasons and the shot has not changed; the volume has.

The skating is the separator — he is among the fastest players here in a straight line and he beats a defenceman wide with speed rather than with a move. What he does not do is create for anybody else: 23 assists in 77 games.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 210 and he does not use it. He is not a forechecker, he does not finish checks, and 16 penalty minutes in 77 games is a winger who is simply not in that part of the game.

He will take a hit to make a play and he does not answer one. On a roster with this much size in the bottom six, he is a skill player who is allowed not to be involved.

The Intangibles

Tenth overall in 2017 by Florida and traded here in 2022 in the Claude Giroux deal — 347 games and 185 points into a career that has now had two very good seasons and one flat one.

He is 26 and on a long contract signed after the 28-goal year. Twenty goals from a player used this way is not a disaster and it is not what the contract was for.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
30.9% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range
7 of 89 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 7.9%, 97th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He is not a forechecker, he does not finish checks, and **16 penalty minutes in 77 games** is a winger who is simply not in that part of the game.”
punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“He is not a forechecker, he does not finish checks, and **16 penalty minutes in 77 games** is a winger who is simply not in that part of the game.”
retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty
“He will take a hit to make a play and he does not answer one.”
playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“What he does not do is create for anybody else: 23 assists in 77 games.”
transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control
“he is among the fastest players here in a straight line and he beats a defenceman wide with speed rather than with a move.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 983 minutes

Expected goals: 53.1%; 79th pct
Shot attempts: 49.6%; 48th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 46 against. Expected: 38.7 and 34.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

49th

Numbers

79th

The numbers rank him 30 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 77 games

Top speed: 23.9 mph; 98th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 3.78 a game
Distance: 2.65 miles a game
Hardest shot: 93.2 mph; 92nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 983 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: PHI took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.1% — 1.0 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 983 minutes at five-on-five — 58th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Travis Konecny	49.9%	55.2%	49.9%
Travis Sanheim	52.3%	53.7%	53.8%
Matvei Michkov	53.0%	53.2%	52.8%

49.9% together, 55.2% for him apart and 49.9% for Konecny apart. He was better away from Konecny, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Konecny.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

288 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 27% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.