Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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44

Simon Benoit

Toronto Maple Leafs Defense

Undrafted, 59 penalty minutes, and the ice he was on outscored its expectation by twenty-one goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21ANA6000-3200030.017:12
2021-22ANA53145-522000452.214:06
2022-23ANA783710-2960000823.719:21
2023-24TOR64145+756000521.917:14
2024-25TOR781910+1259000482.116:33
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—27962430-181990002302.617:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 9 assists in 78 games — 10 points at 16:33 a night, plus-12, with 59 penalty minutes.

44.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 15th percentile — the worst mark on the roster. His ice went 42-34 against an expectation of 35.58-44.05 — twenty-one goals better than expected for, which is one of the largest finishing surpluses of any defenceman in this edition and is not a thing a third-pairing defenceman causes.

The Finesse Game

48 attempts in 78 games at a median of 55 feet with 77 per cent from beyond 40, and 1 goal. 6 goals in 279 career NHL games.

9 assists. The first pass is the whole puck game and it is the limitation: under pressure he goes off the wall or he loses it, and the club’s exits are worse when he is the man making them.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 210 and this is the entire case for him. He hits extremely hard, he clears the front of his own net, and he fights.

59 penalty minutes in 78 games, and 199 in 279 career games. He crosses the line, he answers everything, and on a club that has been called soft for a decade that is most of the argument.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, and he signed with Anaheim out of the Quebec junior league in 2018 — 279 NHL games since.

He is 27. A third-pairing defenceman with a 44.7 per cent chance share is a real problem, and the 59 penalty minutes are the reason the club keeps dressing him anyway.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    37% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 3rd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “**Undrafted**, and he signed with Anaheim out of the Quebec junior league in 2018 — 279 NHL games since.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He hits extremely hard, he clears the front of his own net, and he fights.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He hits extremely hard, he clears the front of his own net, and he fights.”

  • takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “He crosses the line, he answers everything, and on a club that has been called soft for a decade that is most of the argument.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “The first pass is the whole puck game and it is the limitation: under pressure he goes off the wall or he loses it, and the club's exits are worse when he is the man making them.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,054 minutes

Expected goals
44.7%
15th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.6%
5th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 34 against. Expected: 35.6 and 44.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
15th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 78 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
92nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.62 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.23 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.8 mph
72nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1054 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
TOR took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.7% — 5.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,054 minutes at five-on-five — 68th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Conor Timmins46.8%43.2%56.8%
William Nylander45.3%44.4%52.1%
Bobby McMann43.9%44.9%53.8%

46.8% together, 43.2% for him apart and 56.8% for Timmins apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Timmins and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

69 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 60 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 77% from beyond forty.