This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Pavel Buchnevich
St. Louis Blues Left Wing
A career 14.63 per cent shooter with 42 per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | NYR | 41 | 8 | 12 | 20 | +6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 14.5 | 13:16 |
| 2017-18 | NYR | 74 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -3 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 136 | 10.3 | 15:01 |
| 2018-19 | NYR | 64 | 21 | 17 | 38 | -10 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 119 | 17.6 | 15:10 |
| 2019-20 | NYR | 68 | 16 | 30 | 46 | +2 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 10.8 | 16:56 |
| 2020-21 | NYR | 54 | 20 | 28 | 48 | +12 | 42 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 120 | 16.7 | 18:44 |
| 2021-22 | STL | 73 | 30 | 46 | 76 | +29 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 199 | 15.1 | 18:18 |
| 2022-23 | STL | 63 | 26 | 41 | 67 | +14 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 123 | 21.1 | 19:27 |
| 2023-24 | STL | 80 | 27 | 36 | 63 | +3 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 207 | 13.0 | 19:49 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 517 | 162 | 239 | 401 | +53 | 230 | 42 | 7 | 18 | 1107 | 14.6 | 17:17 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
80 games, 27 goals and 36 assists for 63 points, 8 on the power play, 2 shorthanded, 48 penalty minutes, 19:49 a night and plus-3, with 5 game-winners. He took 49.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,115 minutes, the 50th percentile, and his ice went 50-44 against an expectation of 51.24-51.50.
A goal of finishing below what the chances were worth and seven goals of goaltending above them. The plus-3 is one of only two positive figures among the club’s leading forwards.
The Finesse Game
298 attempts at a median of 24 feet with 43 per cent of them from inside twenty, 198 of those on goal, converted at 13.0 per cent against a career 14.63 across 1,107 shots.
162 career goals and 239 assists in 517 games. A career 14.63 per cent from a winger who takes 43 per cent of his attempts inside twenty feet is a finisher who also goes to the right places; he is the most complete forward on this roster and the only one who does both halves of the job well.
The Physical Game
He is 6-1 and 196 and took 48 penalty minutes.
230 career penalty minutes in 517 games. He plays heavier than the listed weight and will take a cross-check to hold the front of the net, and he answers back when it comes the other way.
The Intangibles
Seventy-fifth overall in 2013 by the Rangers, eight seasons, two organisations, and 401 points in 517 games.
Seven career shorthanded goals and a career plus-53 — the largest positive figure of any forward on this roster. He has scored between 26 and 30 in each of his three seasons in St. Louis.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,115 minutes
- Expected goals
- 49.9%
- 52nd pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.4%
- 67th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 44 against. Expected: 51.2 and 51.5.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 35 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1115 minutes at five-on-five
- Jordan Kyrou60%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- STL took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.9% — 5.1 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,115 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Thomas | 51.6% | 44.2% | 44.9% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 52.2% | 46.5% | 48.9% |
| Colton Parayko | 47.5% | 51.8% | 42.8% |
51.6% together, 44.2% for him apart and 44.9% for Thomas apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
298 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 25 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.