Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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71

Juuso Parssinen

Nashville Predators Center

A shot median of fifteen feet at 6-3, and the worst chance share on the roster.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23NSH4561925-1151034912.214:20
2023-24NSH448412-6122005414.814:36
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—89142337-72730310313.614:28

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

44 games, 8 goals and 4 assists for 12 points, 2 on the power play, 12 penalty minutes, 14:36 a night and minus-6. He took 44.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 555 minutes, the 17th percentile, and his ice went 14-22 against an expectation of 19.42-24.34.

Five goals of scoring that did not arrive and two fewer conceded than the chances called for. That 44.4 per cent is the worst chance share of anybody on this roster and it came on a club that was eighth in the league at it.

The Finesse Game

54 shots at a median of 15 feet with 59 per cent from inside 20, converted at 14.8 per cent against a career 13.59.

23 career assists in 89 games. He shoots from closer in than anybody else on this roster, which at 6-3 is where he should be shooting from, and eight goals in forty-four games is a reasonable return for it. Four assists in forty-four games is not.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 207 and goes to the net without owning the space when he gets there.

12 penalty minutes in 44 games is a low rate. He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls, and at that size both of those should be better than they are.

The Intangibles

A seventh-round pick in 2019 out of Hameenlinna, two seasons, and 37 points in 89 games, all of it for one organisation.

He is 23 and the shot chart is genuinely encouraging. The chance share is not, and the club has just signed two forwards who will take the minutes that would have settled the question.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    66.7% of his attempts in the slot, 93rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He shoots from closer in than anybody else on this roster, which at 6-3 is where he should be shooting from, and eight goals in forty-four games is a reasonable return for it.”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He is 6-3 and 207 and goes to the net without owning the space when he gets there.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls, and at that size both of those should be better than they are.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck by force and does not win many walls, and at that size both of those should be better than they are.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 555 minutes

Expected goals
44.4%
18th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.8%
21st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 22 against. Expected: 19.4 and 24.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
27th
Numbers
18th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 44 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
33rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.11 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.37 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.9 mph
43rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 555 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NSH took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.4% — 8.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
555 minutes at five-on-five — 21st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Roman Josi42.5%45.4%55.8%
Ryan McDonagh49.3%41.9%56.2%
Alexandre Carrier52.4%40.7%50.9%

42.5% together, 45.4% for him apart and 55.8% for Josi apart. Josi was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

69 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 59% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.