Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Artemi Panarin

New York Rangers Left Wing

Undrafted, 781 points in 672 games, and a hundred and twenty of them at 32.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CHI80304777+83280718716.018:31
2016-17CHI82314374+182190521114.719:28
2017-18CBJ81275582+232670522811.820:08
2018-19CBJ79285987+142360819114.719:51
2019-20NYR69326395+362070420915.320:36
2020-21NYR42174158+14650110616.019:39
2021-22NYR75227496+211850517712.419:13
2022-23NYR82296392+43690420414.219:36
2023-24NYR824971120+1824110530316.220:07
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—672265516781+15620667044181614.619:40

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 49 goals and 71 assists for 120 points, 11 on the power play, 24 penalty minutes, 20:07 a night and plus-18. He took 57.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,270 minutes, the 94th percentile, and his ice went 72-57 against an expectation of 69.17-52.04.

Three goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and five more conceded than they called for. A hundred and twenty points was fourth in the league and the 94th percentile is the best chance share on the club.

The Finesse Game

434 attempts at a median of 34 feet with 32 per cent from beyond 40, 303 of them on goal, converted at 16.2 per cent against a career 14.59 across 1,816 shots.

516 career assists in 672 games. Forty-nine goals from a man who takes a third of his attempts from beyond forty feet is remarkable. Everything the Rangers do at the offensive end begins with him holding the puck on the half-wall until a defender commits.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 176 and plays no physical game at all.

206 career penalty minutes in 672 games is one of the lowest rates in the league. He does not forecheck by force, does not win the wall, and is knocked off the puck by anybody who reaches him.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Korkino, nine seasons across three organisations, and 781 points in 672 games at a career plus-156.

He is 32 and had the best season of his career. An undrafted Russian who arrived at 23 and has scored at better than a point a game for nine seasons is one of the largest scouting misses of the century.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    32.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    12 of 141 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 8.5%, 99th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    57.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 46.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +11.0, 100th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    15:29 a game at five-on-five, 96th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    80% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 100th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “Everything the Rangers do at the offensive end begins with him holding the puck on the half-wall until a defender commits.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-0 and 176 and plays no physical game at all.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck by force, does not win the wall, and is knocked off the puck by anybody who reaches him.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck by force, does not win the wall, and is knocked off the puck by anybody who reaches him.”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He does not forecheck by force, does not win the wall, and is knocked off the puck by anybody who reaches him.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, out of Korkino, nine seasons across three organisations, and 781 points in 672 games at a career plus-156.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,270 minutes

Expected goals
57.1%
94th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
56.5%
94th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 72 for, 57 against. Expected: 69.2 and 52.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
87th
Numbers
94th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
43rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.67 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.17 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.5 mph
61st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1270 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYR took 50.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.1% — 7.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,270 minutes at five-on-five — 88th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alexis Lafrenière57.3%55.8%46.2%
Vincent Trocheck58.2%53.8%43.3%
Adam Fox63.4%53.3%47.8%

57.3% together, 55.8% for him apart and 46.2% for Lafrenière apart. Lafrenière was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Lafrenière than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

434 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 51 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 16% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.