Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Colton Parayko

Photo by Johnmaxmena2, CC BY-SA 4.0

Colton Parayko

St. Louis Blues Defense #55

6-6, 800 games, and 73 per cent of his shots from beyond 40 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16STL7992433+28293031655.519:23
2016-17STL8143135+7324021882.121:12
2017-18STL8262935-7132002122.822:37
2018-19STL80101828+20154031765.722:47
2019-20STL64101828+8163011626.223:00
2020-21STL3221012-214000603.321:20
2021-22STL8062935+16180021354.423:34
2022-23STL7942327-19300011333.023:00
2023-24STL82101626+4230141546.523:52
2024-25STL64162036+12811412512.823:45
2025-26STL7741418-6230001053.822:12
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—80081232313+612211722016155.022:28

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 14 assists in 77 games — 18 points, minus-6, at 22:12 a night with 23 penalty minutes. His 800th career game.

The Finesse Game

174 unblocked attempts from a median of 53 feet, 73 per cent of them from beyond 40, 4 goals.

The point shot used to be one of the heaviest in the league and it produced 4 goals last season. 81 goals in 800 career games, and 232 assists.

14 assists in 77 games is thin even for a defensive defenceman playing this many minutes.

The Physical Game

6-6 and 228, and it is the whole game — he closes on a puck carrier with reach nobody else has, clears his crease, and blocks a great many shots.

23 penalty minutes in a full season at 22 minutes a night is remarkably disciplined for a man his size.

The Intangibles

51.4 per cent of the expected goals, 67th percentile, against only 47.0 per cent of the shot attempts, 26th, across 1,463 minutes.

That 4-point split is the same one Broberg posted beside him and it is what St. Louis is: a club that concedes volume from the outside and defends the slot. It works when the goaltending holds and it did not, quite.

4 points in his last 10, 3 of them goals. He is 33, a third-round pick, and one of 4 men left from the 2019 team. 18 points is the lowest full-season total of his career.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    19:00 a game at five-on-five, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,463 minutes

Expected goals
51.4%
67th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47%
27th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 54 for, 62 against. Expected: 59.2 and 55.9.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
67th
Numbers
67th

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 77 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
1.22 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.06 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.1 mph
80th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 1 assists, 15 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1463 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
STL took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.4% — 1.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,463 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Philip Broberg51.4%51.5%51.9%
Pavel Buchnevich53.0%50.7%50.3%
Robert Thomas57.1%49.0%53.8%

51.4% together, 51.5% for him apart and 51.9% for Broberg apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

174 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 36 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 73% from beyond forty.