Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

8

Chris Tanev

Calgary Flames Defense

Undrafted, 717 games, the 99th percentile in five-on-five share, and one goal.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11VAN2901100000150.013:47
2011-12VAN25022+102000150.016:43
2012-13VAN38257+4100012010.017:17
2013-14VAN6461117+128012659.220:44
2014-15VAN7021820+812001533.821:05
2015-16VAN6941418-88200429.521:45
2016-17VAN532810+314001395.120:21
2017-18VAN422911+78000316.519:47
2018-19VAN5521012+318000513.920:10
2019-20VAN6921820+441001454.419:32
2020-21CGY5621012+156000663.021:44
2021-22CGY8262228+3522003886.820:28
2022-23CGY6511213+721001751.320:07
2023-24 so far
Career71731140171+10017021106055.120:01

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 12 assists in 65 games — 13 points at 20:07 a night, plus-7, on 75 shots and 21 penalty minutes.

61.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,093 minutes. That is the 99th percentile in the league. His ice went 45-43 against an expectation of 53.38-33.8 — eight goals of scoring missing and nine more conceded than the chances predicted, a seventeen-goal swing against a man whose shifts were the best in hockey. That is what a .892 goaltender does to a defenceman’s record.

The Finesse Game

75 attempts at a median of 50 feet, 80 per cent from beyond 40 and 4 per cent from inside 20, converting at 1.33 per cent. 31 goals in 717 career games.

There is no offensive game and there has never been any pretence of one. The first pass is simple, early and correct, and he has built a thirteen-year career on never being the reason a play went wrong.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 200 and he blocks shots with a willingness that has cost him a remarkable number of bones — the injury history is long and almost all of it is the price of standing in front of pucks.

He defends the rush better than anybody on this roster: the gap is closed early, the stick is in the lane, and forwards arrive at the blue line with nowhere to go. 170 penalty minutes in 717 games says he does it without fouling, which is the hardest part.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of the Ontario junior system and RIT, and 717 NHL games later he is one of the most respected defensive defencemen of his era.

He is 33, in the last year of his contract, on a club that missed the playoffs. He is the single most obvious deadline rental in the league — a right-shot shutdown defenceman with a Cup contender’s exact profile — and everybody in the sport knows it, including him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    61.2% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 53.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +8.1, 96th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, out of the Ontario junior system and RIT”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “he blocks shots with a willingness that has cost him a remarkable number of bones”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “the gap is closed early, the stick is in the lane, and forwards arrive at the blue line with nowhere to go”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He defends the rush better than anybody on this roster”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,093 minutes

Expected goals
61.2%
99th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
60.2%
98th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 43 against. Expected: 53.4 and 33.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
71st
Numbers
99th

The numbers rank him 28 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 120 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 1093 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
CGY took 55.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 61.2% — 6.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,093 minutes at five-on-five — 69th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
MacKenzie Weegar58.8%64.0%58.1%
Andrew Mangiapane62.6%60.5%54.9%
Blake Coleman64.0%59.9%56.2%

58.8% together, 64.0% for him apart and 58.1% for Weegar apart. He was better away from Weegar, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Weegar.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

90 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 48 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 80% from beyond forty.