Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

8

Chris Tanev

Calgary Flames Defense

Plus-35 at thirty-two with 22 penalty minutes, 2:58 shorthanded at the 96th percentile, and 1.86 hits per 60 at the 13th.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11VAN2901100000150.013:47
2011-12VAN25022+102000150.016:43
2012-13VAN38257+4100012010.017:17
2013-14VAN6461117+128012659.220:44
2014-15VAN7021820+812001533.821:05
2015-16VAN6941418-88200429.521:45
2016-17VAN532810+314001395.120:21
2017-18VAN422911+78000316.519:47
2018-19VAN5521012+318000513.920:10
2019-20VAN6921820+441001454.419:32
2020-21CGY5621012+156000663.021:44
2021-22CGY8262228+3522003886.820:28
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—65230128158+931492195305.719:60

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 22 assists in 82 games — 28 points at 20:28 a night, plus-35, with 22 penalty minutes.

54.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,415 minutes, the 85th percentile among defencemen. His ice went 69-45 against an expectation of 60.65-50.31 — eight more goals for than the chances promised and five fewer against.

Eighty-two games at thirty-two, from a defenceman who had cleared 70 once in twelve seasons.

The Finesse Game

3.15 shots per 60 is the 15th percentile among defencemen and 30 goals in 652 career games. There is no offence here and the club has never wanted any.

1.19 even-strength points per 60 is the 77th percentile, which is what a defenceman on the third-best chance-share club in the league gets for making a clean first pass. He took no power-play points at all.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 200. 1.86 hits per 60 is the 13th percentile among defencemen and 5.65 blocks per 60 is the 86th. That combination is the whole report: he does not run anybody, he ends the play with his stick and his body position, and when he cannot he gets in front of it.

2:58 a night shorthanded is the 96th percentile among defencemen, on the 2nd-best penalty kill in the league.

0.39 penalties taken per 60 is the 19th percentile — 22 penalty minutes in 82 games. Twenty and a half minutes a night against the other side’s best and almost no fouling in it.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of the Rochester Institute of Technology, and 652 NHL games at 32 with a career plus-93.

He and Oliver Kylington played 1,937 attempts together at 55.8 per cent, and Kylington is off the roster. Tanev apart from him was at 51.4 across 606 attempts — a real drop, on a smaller sample, and the replacement partner is the question the blue line has to answer.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “he does not run anybody, he ends the play with his stick and his body position, and when he cannot he gets in front of it”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “2:58 a night shorthanded is the 96th percentile among defencemen”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted out of the Rochester Institute of Technology, and 652 NHL games at 32 with a career plus-93.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,415 minutes

Expected goals
54.7%
85th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.8%
83rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 69 for, 45 against. Expected: 60.6 and 50.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
58th
Numbers
85th

The numbers rank him 27 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 82 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
73rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.78 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.95 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.7 mph
41st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1415 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
CGY took 55.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.7% — 0.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,415 minutes at five-on-five — 94th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Oliver Kylington55.8%51.4%50.8%
Johnny Gaudreau58.3%52.8%60.3%
Matthew Tkachuk59.9%52.1%61.3%

55.8% together, 51.4% for him apart and 50.8% for Kylington apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

121 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 39 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 70% from beyond forty.