This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Brady Tkachuk
Ottawa Senators Left Wing
The 10th-most shots and the 5th-most penalty minutes in the league, off the 6th-least ground covered of 365 forwards.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | OTT | 71 | 22 | 23 | 45 | -10 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 214 | 10.3 | 16:01 |
| 2019-20 | OTT | 71 | 21 | 23 | 44 | -14 | 106 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 259 | 8.1 | 18:56 |
| 2020-21 | OTT | 56 | 17 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 7.7 | 18:14 |
| 2021-22 | OTT | 79 | 30 | 37 | 67 | -7 | 117 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 288 | 10.4 | 18:48 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 277 | 90 | 102 | 192 | -48 | 367 | 20 | 0 | 12 | 981 | 9.2 | 18:00 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
79 games, 30 goals and 37 assists for 67 points at 18:48 a night, minus-7, 117 penalty minutes, 288 shots. Fourth overall in 2018, four seasons, 277 games, 192 points, 367 career penalty minutes at 22.
The Finesse Game
Sixty per cent of his shots came from the slot at a 20-foot median, and 288 of them is the 10th-most in the league.
11.64 shots per 60 is the 11th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games. He is 22 and shoots more often than all but ten men in hockey, from twenty feet.
It went in 10.4 per cent of the time, the 40th percentile. Thirty goals off 288 shots, and 90 goals off 981 career shots — 9.2 per cent. The volume is the asset and the conversion is ordinary and has always been.
2.44 even-strength points per 60 is the 81st percentile.
2.75 giveaways per 60 is the 94th percentile. He carries it constantly.
49.1 per cent of the expected goals and 51.5 per cent of the attempts, out of 60.9 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 40th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. That is genuinely soft usage and the chance share is below even out of it.
The Physical Game
10.91 hits per 60 is the 91st percentile among forwards, at 6-4 and 226 pounds.
1.58 penalties drawn per 60 is the 26th-most of 393 forwards and 1.74 taken the 95th percentile, and 117 penalty minutes is the 5th-most in the league.
1.01 blocks per 60 is the 17th percentile, which is the one place the physical game does not appear.
The Intangibles
8.69 miles per 60 is the 6th-least of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, at a 21.9 mph top speed in the 18th percentile and 3.2 bursts per 60 in the 23rd.
A forward who shoots more than all but ten men in the league and moves less than all but five is an unusual thing, and it is exactly what a 226-pound net-front power forward should look like on a chip.
He is 22 with 192 points, 367 penalty minutes and a career minus-48. The shot volume, the slot share, the hits and the penalty traffic are all top-decile and all durable. The skating is at the bottom of the league and it will not improve.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- sheltered· is started in the attacking end
61% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
“Sixty per cent of his shots came from the slot at a 20-foot median, and 288 of them is the 10th-most in the league.”
“1.58 penalties drawn per 60 is the 26th-most of 393 forwards and 1.74 taken the 95th percentile, and 117 penalty minutes is the 5th-most in the league.”
“10.91 hits per 60 is the 91st percentile among forwards, at 6-4 and 226 pounds.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,139 minutes
- Expected goals
- 49.1%
- 49th pct
- Shot attempts
- 51.5%
- 69th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 56 for, 51 against. Expected: 49.6 and 51.5.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 41 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 79 games
- Top speed
- 21.9 mph
- 38th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.01 a game
- Distance
- 2.72 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 94.5 mph
- 88th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 1139 minutes at five-on-five
- Josh Norris65%
- Tim Stützle22%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- OTT took 47.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.1% — 2.0 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,139 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Norris | 50.1% | 47.1% | 39.2% |
| Thomas Chabot | 49.5% | 48.8% | 48.6% |
| Drake Batherson | 48.7% | 49.3% | 53.5% |
50.1% together, 47.1% for him apart and 39.2% for Norris apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
369 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.