Brady Tkachuk

61 per cent of the expected goals — 99th percentile — and his club still got outscored with him on the ice.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2018-19	OTT	71	22	23	45	-10	75	4	0	3	214	10.3	16:01
2019-20	OTT	71	21	23	44	-14	106	2	0	3	259	8.1	18:56
2020-21	OTT	56	17	19	36	-17	69	5	0	3	220	7.7	18:14
2021-22	OTT	79	30	37	67	-7	117	9	0	3	288	10.4	18:48
2022-23	OTT	82	35	48	83	-10	126	11	0	6	347	10.1	18:38
2023-24	OTT	81	37	37	74	+1	134	12	0	2	357	10.4	19:09
2024-25	OTT	72	29	26	55	0	123	14	0	5	296	9.8	18:14
2025-26	OTT	60	22	37	59	+4	71	5	1	3	221	10.0	16:58
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	572	213	250	463	-53	821	62	1	28	2202	9.7	18:11

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 goals and 37 assists in 60 games — 59 points, plus-4, at 16:58 a night with 71 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Ottawa.

The Finesse Game

More skill than the reputation carries. 221 shots on goal in 60 games is a heavy volume, and the location is honest — 43 per cent of his unblocked attempts from inside 20 feet, median 24.

37 assists is the part people forget. He is not a finisher who fights; he is a first-line winger who happens to be the hardest man on the ice.

The Physical Game

6-4, 226, and the most physically imposing top-6 forward in the league. 71 penalty minutes, a genuine willingness to fight, and a net-front presence that requires 2 men to move.

This is the archetype that was supposed to have died with the salary cap, and he is a first-line player.

The Intangibles

The number is extraordinary and so is what happened to it. He was on the ice for 61.0 per cent of the expected goals — 99th percentile in the league — with the chances running 42.7 to 27.3 in his favour across 758 minutes.

The actual goals went 37 for and 34 against.

That is a 12 goal shortfall, and it is the single clearest picture of what Ottawa’s goaltending cost last season. He did everything a forward can do to a hockey game and lost the ice anyway.

He is 26 and now plays on his brother’s wing. If Florida’s goaltending is merely average, this becomes one of the best forwards in hockey by the numbers as well as the eye.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
61.0% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 53.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +7.9, 98th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
65% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 94th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 758 minutes

Expected goals: 61%; 100th pct
Shot attempts: 58.2%; 96th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 34 against. Expected: 42.7 and 27.3.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

99th

Numbers

100th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 85 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 60 games

Top speed: 22.1 mph; 42nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.83 a game
Distance: 2.37 miles a game
Hardest shot: 92.3 mph; 90th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 9 assists, 29 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with OTT · 758 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: OTT took 54.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 61.0% — 6.1 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 758 minutes at five-on-five — 35th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Dylan Cozens	63.8%	56.9%	55.6%
Ridly Greig	63.9%	58.7%	47.8%
Jordan Spence	65.0%	58.4%	59.7%

63.8% together, 56.9% for him apart and 55.6% for Cozens apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

297 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.