Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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16

Vincent Trocheck

New York Rangers Center

Seventy-seven points at 30, 322 career assists, and 8 per cent of his attempts from beyond forty feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14FLA20538-1161103813.218:53
2014-15FLA5071522+924100897.914:00
2015-16FLA76252853+154441417414.417:46
2016-17FLA82233154-134320223010.020:50
2017-18FLA82314475-954133528710.821:22
2018-19FLA55102434-9543111586.319:40
2019-20FLA/CAR62112738-8491121417.816:44
2020-21CAR47172643-32070212313.818:14
2021-22CAR81213051+217860316812.517:52
2022-23NYR82224264+3589032259.819:19
2023-24NYR82255277+1655111521511.621:27
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—719197322519+1148558827184810.718:59

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 25 goals and 52 assists for 77 points, 11 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 55 penalty minutes, 21:27 a night and plus-16. He took 55.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,260 minutes, the 87th percentile, and his ice went 65-54 against an expectation of 63.14-51.72.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and two more conceded than they called for. Seventy-seven points is a career high by two, at 30, in his eleventh season.

The Finesse Game

361 attempts at a median of 22 feet, with 44 per cent from inside twenty and only 8 per cent from beyond forty, 215 on goal, converted at 11.6 per cent against a career 10.66.

322 career assists in 719 games. Eight per cent from beyond forty is one of the lowest figures on any roster in this edition — he does not shoot from the perimeter at all, and every attempt is taken either from the slot or not taken.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 187 and plays a far harder game than the size suggests.

485 career penalty minutes in 719 games is a real rate. He takes the draw, forechecks aggressively, wins the wall against bigger men, and kills penalties with 8 career shorthanded goals.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2011 out of Pittsburgh, eleven seasons across three organisations, and 519 points in 719 games.

He is 31 and played twenty-one and a half minutes a night on a club that finished first. A second-line centre who takes every situation and finished 87th percentile is the least-discussed important player on this roster.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    55.0% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.5% for his club in the minutes he sat: +7.5, 96th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    15:22 a game at five-on-five, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Eight per cent from beyond forty is one of the lowest figures on any roster in this edition — he does not shoot from the perimeter at all, and every attempt is taken either from the slot or not taken.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 5-11 and 187 and plays a far harder game than the size suggests.”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He takes the draw, forechecks aggressively, wins the wall against bigger men, and kills penalties with 8 career shorthanded goals.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He takes the draw, forechecks aggressively, wins the wall against bigger men, and kills penalties with 8 career shorthanded goals.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He takes the draw, forechecks aggressively, wins the wall against bigger men, and kills penalties with 8 career shorthanded goals.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He takes the draw, forechecks aggressively, wins the wall against bigger men, and kills penalties with 8 career shorthanded goals.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,260 minutes

Expected goals
55%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.3%
81st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 65 for, 54 against. Expected: 63.1 and 51.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
90th
Numbers
87th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
81st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
2.12 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.44 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.3 mph
35th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1260 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYR took 50.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.0% — 4.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,260 minutes at five-on-five — 87th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alexis Lafrenière56.6%49.3%53.3%
Artemi Panarin58.2%43.3%53.8%
Adam Fox58.2%53.0%52.0%

56.6% together, 49.3% for him apart and 53.3% for Lafrenière apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

361 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.