This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Andrew Copp

Sixty-nine career plus-minus in 644 games, and a 15th-percentile chance share in the first year it went the other way.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2014-15	WPG	1	0	1	1	+2	0	0	0	0	4	0.0	13:16
2015-16	WPG	77	7	6	13	+8	6	0	0	0	54	13.0	8:00
2016-17	WPG	64	9	8	17	+8	18	0	1	1	77	11.7	12:21
2017-18	WPG	82	9	19	28	+17	14	0	2	0	96	9.4	13:44
2018-19	WPG	69	11	14	25	+20	6	0	1	2	82	13.4	12:10
2019-20	WPG	63	10	16	26	-3	10	1	0	5	121	8.3	17:42
2020-21	WPG	55	15	24	39	+2	20	6	0	1	115	13.0	18:15
2021-22	WPG/NYR	72	21	32	53	+15	16	3	2	5	183	11.5	19:11
2022-23	DET	82	9	33	42	+2	25	1	1	2	120	7.5	18:09
2023-24	DET	79	13	20	33	-2	26	1	1	3	109	11.9	16:16
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	644	104	173	277	+69	141	12	8	19	961	10.8	14:60

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Seventy-nine games, 13 goals and 20 assists with 1 on the power play and 1 shorthanded, 16:16 a night and minus-2. He converted 11.93 per cent of 109 shots against a career 10.82 across 961.

He took 45.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,027 minutes, the 22nd percentile, and his ice went 46-50 against an expectation of 34.79-42.40. A career plus-69 across 644 games says this is not what he usually looks like; a club ranked 27th at suppressing chances says why.

The Finesse Game

One hundred and nine shots at a median of 22 feet with 46 per cent from inside 20. He gets to the slot and he is not a natural finisher — 104 goals in 644 games at 10.82 per cent.

One hundred and seventy-three career assists. The puck moves quickly and simply and the offensive value is in the third line rather than the second, which is where this club has been playing him.

The Physical Game

He forechecks hard and finishes his checks at 6-1 and 200, and 141 penalty minutes in 644 games is a low rate for a man who initiates that much — the contact is legal and it is constant.

He kills penalties and has 8 career shorthanded goals, and he wins defensive-zone draws. This is the whole of his value and it has been for ten seasons.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2013 out of Ann Arbor, three years at Michigan, ten seasons and 644 games, and a career plus-69 collected almost entirely in Winnipeg.

He is 30 and playing at home on a club that has not made the playoffs. The chance share last season is the worst of his career by some distance.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck
“He forechecks hard and finishes his checks at 6-1 and 200, and 141 penalty minutes in 644 games is a low rate for a man who initiates that much — the contact is legal and it is constant.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He kills penalties and has 8 career shorthanded goals, and he wins defensive-zone draws.”
faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it
“He kills penalties and has 8 career shorthanded goals, and he wins defensive-zone draws.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,027 minutes

Expected goals: 45.1%; 22nd pct
Shot attempts: 43.7%; 11th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 46 for, 50 against. Expected: 34.8 and 42.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

27th

Numbers

22nd

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 79 games

Top speed: 22.2 mph; 50th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.77 a game
Distance: 2.49 miles a game
Hardest shot: 83.3 mph; 29th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1027 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: DET took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.1% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,027 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Michael Rasmussen	45.7%	44.4%	42.9%
Moritz Seider	43.6%	45.9%	43.5%
Ben Chiarot	41.2%	46.9%	45.6%

45.7% together, 44.4% for him apart and 42.9% for Rasmussen apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

147 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.