Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

27

Matt Coronato

Calgary Flames Right Wing

Thirteenth overall in 2021, thirty-four games, and three goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23CGY1000+1200040.014:38
2023-24CGY34369-154100585.212:37
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—35369-146100624.812:40

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 6 assists in 34 games — 9 points at 12:37 a night, minus-15, with 1 power-play goal on 58 shots at 5.17 per cent, and 4 penalty minutes.

45.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 375 minutes, the 25th percentile. His ice went 14-24 against an expectation of 13.11-15.57 — eight goals conceded above expectation in a fourth-line role.

The Finesse Game

58 attempts at a median of 33 feet, with 25 per cent from inside 20 and 27 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 5.17 per cent.

The shot is the reason he was a first-round pick and it did not go in — three goals on fifty-eight attempts, from a man who scored 41 in a college season. The release is quick and the distance is the problem: a rookie shooting from thirty-three feet is a rookie who has not yet found a way inside.

6 assists in 34 games. The passing is competent and the hockey sense is ahead of the production.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 183. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall, and the game is played in open ice.

4 penalty minutes in 34 games is one of the cleanest rates on the roster, and it is clean because he is rarely in a battle.

The Intangibles

Thirteenth overall in 2021, out of Harvard, and 35 NHL games at 21 with three goals.

A first-round winger who scores three times in his first thirty-four games is neither a failure nor an argument, and on a club that has just traded most of its top six there is now ice available to settle it either way.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “**He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall**, and the game is played in open ice.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “**He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall**, and the game is played in open ice.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “**4 penalty minutes in 34 games** is one of the cleanest rates on the roster, and it is clean because he is rarely in a battle.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “The release is quick and the distance is the problem: a rookie shooting from thirty-three feet is a rookie who has not yet found a way inside.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 375 minutes

Expected goals
45.7%
25th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49%
46th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 24 against. Expected: 13.1 and 15.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
31st
Numbers
25th

The two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 34 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
49th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.12 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.99 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
80.4 mph
20th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 375 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.7% — 4.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
375 minutes at five-on-five — 11th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
MacKenzie Weegar43.2%47.4%51.3%
Rasmus Andersson49.9%43.4%48.4%
Yegor Sharangovich44.0%46.6%49.8%

43.2% together, 47.4% for him apart and 51.3% for Weegar apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

91 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 25% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.