Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

18

Andrew Copp

Detroit Red Wings Center

23 points in 56 games and a plus-4 on a club that was minus-23, in the fourth year of a contract that has never worked.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15WPG1011+2000040.013:16
2015-16WPG777613+860005413.08:00
2016-17WPG649817+8180117711.712:21
2017-18WPG8291928+1714020969.413:44
2018-19WPG69111425+2060128213.412:10
2019-20WPG63101626-3101051218.317:42
2020-21WPG55152439+22060111513.018:15
2021-22WPG/NYR72213253+151632518311.519:11
2022-23DET8293342+2251121207.518:09
2023-24DET79132033-22611310911.916:16
2024-25DET56101323+480126814.714:42
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—700114186300+7314912921102911.114:58

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 13 assists in 56 games for 23 points, plus-4 on a club with a minus-23 goal differential, on 14:42 a night with a shorthanded goal.

47.3 per cent at five-on-five, the 28th percentile, with on-ice goals of 27-26 against an expected 27-30. 45 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet and 14.7 per cent conversion is above his career rate.

The Finesse Game

Limited and honest. 68 shots in 56 games and 10 goals, and 13 assists — there is no offensive projection here beyond one 39-point season five years ago.

What he provides is a centre who does not lose the puck in his own end, takes a hard draw, and can be put out to defend a lead. That is a third-line job and it is done properly.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 200, and he plays a hard checking game. He finishes checks, blocks shots, and is reliable on the wall.

8 penalty minutes in 56 games is exceptional discipline. The body is the issue — he has cleared 70 games once in four seasons here.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick, an established checking centre, and a free-agent contract signed on the strength of a deadline-run season that has never been repeated.

At 31 the projection is a third-line centre for 60 games. The plus-4 is the most interesting thing about the season and it is a small-sample curiosity rather than a finding.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.14 penalty minutes a game over 56, 8th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “What he provides is a centre who does not lose the puck in his own end, takes a hard draw, and can be put out to defend a lead.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “can be put out to defend a lead”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He finishes checks, blocks shots, and is reliable on the wall.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He finishes checks, blocks shots, and is reliable on the wall.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He finishes checks, blocks shots, and is reliable on the wall.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 735 minutes

Expected goals
47.3%
29th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.1%
26th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 26 against. Expected: 26.6 and 29.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
72nd
Numbers
29th

The report ranks him 43 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 56 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.82 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.36 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.3 mph
26th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 735 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.3% — 0.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 735 minutes at five-on-five — 32nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alex DeBrincat52.6%42.7%50.4%
Ben Chiarot45.7%48.4%44.7%
Patrick Kane49.1%46.2%48.0%

52.6% together, 42.7% for him apart and 50.4% for DeBrincat apart. He was worse away from DeBrincat, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than DeBrincat did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

97 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 7 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.