Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

26

Nathan Walker

St. Louis Blues Left Wing

The only player in this edition born in Great Britain, and a 16.28 per cent shooter last season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18WSH/EDM910106000616.79:27
2018-19WSH3011+1200020.08:09
2019-20STL5112-24000616.711:08
2020-21STL8101-420001010.013:30
2021-22STL308412+120023821.111:33
2022-23STL562810+1025001434.710:17
2023-24STL457613-1180004316.310:49
2024-25 so far
Career156202040+55900314813.510:47

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

45 games, 7 goals and 6 assists for 13 points, 18 penalty minutes, 10:49 a night and minus-1. He took 39.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 473 minutes, the 10th percentile, and his ice went 13-15 against an expectation of 12.54-18.86.

Level with the chances at the offensive end and four goals of goaltending above them. Seven goals on 43 shots is 16.3 per cent, and a career 13.51 per cent says the finishing is real even on a very small sample.

The Finesse Game

52 attempts at a median of 32 feet with 33 per cent of them from inside twenty and 33 per cent from beyond forty, 41 of those on goal, converted at 16.3 per cent against a career 13.51 across 148 shots.

Twenty career goals in 156 games and zero on the power play. He is a fourth-line winger who shoots more readily than most men in the role and converts at a rate nobody expects, which is why a 5-9 forward keeps getting recalled.

The Physical Game

He is 5-9 and 191 and took 18 penalty minutes.

Fifty-nine career penalty minutes in 156 games. He is the shortest forward on this roster and plays a compact, low-centred forechecking game, going in first and finishing the check on men eight inches taller.

The Intangibles

Eighty-ninth overall in 2014 by Washington, seven seasons, three organisations, and 40 points in 156 games.

He was born in Cardiff and is the only player in this edition born in Great Britain. A career plus-5 across 156 games spread over seven seasons is the record of a man who has spent most of a decade being the thirteenth forward.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 473 minutes

Expected goals
39.9%
5th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.6%
11th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 13 for, 15 against. Expected: 12.5 and 18.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
5th

The report ranks him 62 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 473 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
STL took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 39.9% — 4.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 473 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alexey Toropchenko38.8%41.0%42.6%
Oskar Sundqvist40.5%39.5%37.2%
Nick Leddy46.2%35.1%44.4%

38.8% together, 41.0% for him apart and 42.6% for Toropchenko apart. Toropchenko was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

52 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 33% from beyond forty.