This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Alexey Toropchenko
St. Louis Blues Right Wing
Six-foot-six, and the ice he was on outscored its expectation by twenty-four goals from a fourth line.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | STL | 28 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 4.7 | 10:43 |
| 2022-23 | STL | 69 | 10 | 9 | 19 | +6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 11.6 | 12:05 |
| 2023-24 | STL | 82 | 14 | 7 | 21 | -3 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 114 | 12.3 | 12:31 |
| 2024-25 | STL | 80 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 4.4 | 12:30 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 259 | 30 | 30 | 60 | -7 | 82 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 333 | 9.0 | 12:12 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
4 goals and 14 assists in 80 games — 18 points at 12:30 a night, minus-1, with 25 penalty minutes.
48.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 32nd percentile, across 874 minutes. His ice went 51-41 against an expectation of 27.21-29.32 — the goals for beat the chances by twenty-four, which is the largest finishing surplus of any forward in this edition and is not a thing a fourth-line winger does on purpose.
The Finesse Game
90 attempts at a median of 23 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20, and 4 goals from it. He gets to the right places and there is very little finish: 30 goals in 259 NHL games.
14 assists in 80 games. There is no creation and the club is not asking for any.
The Physical Game
6-6 and 225 and among the largest forwards in the league. He forechecks hard, he wins pucks on the wall by leaning on people, and he cannot be moved from in front of a net.
25 penalty minutes in 80 games is a low rate for a man that size. He is not an agitator and he does not take liberties; the size is used to hold the puck rather than to intimidate.
The Intangibles
A fourth-round pick in 2017 out of Moscow, and 259 NHL games in — all of it here, across four seasons of bottom-six work.
He is 26. A 6-6 forechecker who kills penalties is a useful thing to have and it does not explain a twenty-four goal finishing surplus, which nothing does.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 874 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.1%
- 33rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 46.4%
- 20th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 41 against. Expected: 27.2 and 29.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 874 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- STL took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.1% — 3.0 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 874 minutes at five-on-five — 42nd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radek Faksa | 48.5% | 47.2% | 50.8% |
| Nathan Walker | 48.8% | 46.4% | 41.7% |
| Ryan Suter | 43.2% | 50.8% | 49.3% |
48.5% together, 47.2% for him apart and 50.8% for Faksa apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
118 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.