This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Alex Killorn
Anaheim Ducks Left Wing
Twenty-seven goals at thirty-three on an 18.9 per cent shooting year, and Anaheim bought four seasons of it.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-13 | TBL | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 82 | 8.5 | 16:49 |
| 2013-14 | TBL | 82 | 17 | 24 | 41 | +8 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 173 | 9.8 | 16:47 |
| 2014-15 | TBL | 71 | 15 | 23 | 38 | +8 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 130 | 11.5 | 16:56 |
| 2015-16 | TBL | 81 | 14 | 26 | 40 | +14 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 154 | 9.1 | 16:48 |
| 2016-17 | TBL | 81 | 19 | 17 | 36 | -9 | 66 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 176 | 10.8 | 18:00 |
| 2017-18 | TBL | 82 | 15 | 32 | 47 | +22 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 156 | 9.6 | 16:30 |
| 2018-19 | TBL | 82 | 18 | 22 | 40 | +22 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 153 | 11.8 | 14:52 |
| 2019-20 | TBL | 68 | 26 | 23 | 49 | +19 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 130 | 20.0 | 17:56 |
| 2020-21 | TBL | 56 | 15 | 18 | 33 | -1 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 121 | 12.4 | 17:54 |
| 2021-22 | TBL | 82 | 25 | 34 | 59 | +1 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 164 | 15.2 | 18:42 |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 82 | 27 | 37 | 64 | +18 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 143 | 18.9 | 17:13 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 805 | 198 | 268 | 466 | +96 | 481 | 38 | 4 | 34 | 1582 | 12.5 | 17:07 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
27 goals and 37 assists in 82 games for Tampa Bay — 64 points at 17:13 a night, plus-18, with 3 power-play goals and 5 game-winners on 143 shots, converting at 18.88 per cent, and 45 penalty minutes.
That shooting percentage is the whole report. 49 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 43rd percentile, and his ice went 58-42 against an expectation of 42.87-44.61 — fifteen goals of scoring above what the chances predicted. Some of that is Tampa’s finishing and some of it is a career year at 33.
The Finesse Game
143 attempts at a median of 19 feet, with 52 per cent from inside 20 and 6 per cent from beyond 40. He does not shoot from range and he does not need to; he arrives at the net and the puck arrives with him.
He lives in the blue paint and he pays for it, and after eleven years of it the hands are still good enough to finish what the traffic creates.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 205, and 481 career penalty minutes says he plays the game where it hurts. He finishes checks and he is difficult to play against in a way box scores do not record.
The skating is average and always was — 22.4 mph at the 54th percentile, 0.7 bursts a game at the 34th. At 34 that is the number that will go first, and it will take the net-front game with it.
The Intangibles
Seventy-seventh overall in 2007, 805 games, two Stanley Cups, and 466 points. He is the most decorated player on this roster by a distance and the only one who has won anything.
Anaheim signed him for four years at 33, which is not a hockey decision so much as a decision about a dressing room full of twenty-two-year-olds. The first year of that contract is likely to be the good one; the reason to sign it is what the other three teach Zegras and McTavish.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
66.3% of his attempts in the slot, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it
- durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“He lives in the blue paint and he pays for it”
“He finishes checks and he is difficult to play against in a way box scores do not record.”
“He is the most decorated player on this roster by a distance and the only one who has won anything.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,059 minutes
- Expected goals
- 49%
- 43rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 50.2%
- 55th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 58 for, 42 against. Expected: 42.9 and 44.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 38 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 58 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2022-23 with TBL · 1059 minutes at five-on-five
- Steven Stamkos52%
- Anthony Cirelli47%
- Nick Paul37%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- TBL took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.0% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,059 minutes at five-on-five — 65th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Stamkos | 48.2% | 49.9% | 53.5% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 50.7% | 47.2% | 54.4% |
| Ian Cole | 51.5% | 47.5% | 54.2% |
48.2% together, 49.9% for him apart and 53.5% for Stamkos apart. Stamkos was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
181 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 52% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.