Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

17

Adam Lowry

Winnipeg Jets Center

The captain, 6-5, 775 games in one uniform, and 54 per cent of his shot attempts from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15WPG80111223+14601210410.613:45
2015-16WPG7471017-953002739.614:01
2016-17WPG82151429+15250112212.316:03
2017-18WPG4581321+981017011.414:54
2018-19WPG78121123+63301310511.414:38
2019-20WPG494610-423011685.914:58
2020-21WPG52101424+6130138012.515:32
2021-22WPG7913821+15903011511.315:29
2022-23WPG82132336+44803212610.315:39
2023-24WPG81122335+175701111910.116:06
2024-25WPG73161834+18280049916.215:26
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—775121152273+5042061120108111.215:09

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

16 goals and 18 assists in 73 games — 34 points at 15:26 a night, plus-18, with 4 game-winners on 99 shots, converting at 16.2 per cent, and 28 penalty minutes.

51.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 63rd percentile. His ice went 33-20 against an expectation of 34.35-32.70 — nine goals better than expected for and level against, on the club’s shutdown line.

The Finesse Game

99 attempts at a median of 19 feet with 54 per cent from inside 20 and 13 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 16.2 per cent. He goes to the net because that is where a checking centre’s goals come from.

18 assists. 273 points in 775 games is the whole offensive record and it has never been the point. He wins the draw that begins the shift and the line starts the next one in the other end.

The Physical Game

6-5 and 210 and among the hardest forwards in the league to play against. He forechecks first, he finishes checks that hurt, and he wins pucks below the goal line against defencemen who cannot reach around him.

28 penalty minutes in 73 games is a low rate for a player who plays this way. He is not an agitator; the physical game is entirely about taking the puck.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2011 — 67th overall — and 775 games, all of it here, eleven seasons.

He is the captain and he takes the hardest defensive assignment on the roster every night, and he has been a Selke candidate without ever being a scorer. He is 32.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    68.2% of his attempts in the slot, 96th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    3 of his 16 goals late or in overtime, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    32% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 5th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “**99 attempts at a median of 19 feet with 54 per cent from inside 20 and 13 per cent from beyond 40**, converting at 16.2 per cent. He goes to the net because that is where a checking centre's goals come from.”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “**He wins the draw that begins the shift** and the line starts the next one in the other end.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “**6-5 and 210 and among the hardest forwards in the league to play against.** He forechecks first, he finishes checks that hurt, and he wins pucks below the goal line against defencemen who cannot reach around him.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks first, he finishes checks that hurt, and he wins pucks below the goal line against defencemen who cannot reach around him.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He forechecks first, he finishes checks that hurt, and he wins pucks below the goal line against defencemen who cannot reach around him.”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He is not an agitator; the physical game is entirely about taking the puck.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “**He is the captain** and he takes the hardest defensive assignment on the roster every night, and he has been a Selke candidate without ever being a scorer.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “**He is the captain** and he takes the hardest defensive assignment on the roster every night, and he has been a Selke candidate without ever being a scorer.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 914 minutes

Expected goals
51.2%
65th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.4%
68th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 20 against. Expected: 34.4 and 32.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
88th
Numbers
65th

The report ranks him 23 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 73 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
66th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.79 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.59 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.8 mph
50th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 914 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.2% — 0.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 914 minutes at five-on-five — 48th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mason Appleton50.0%55.1%40.0%
Nino Niederreiter49.3%55.4%46.0%
Dylan DeMelo48.8%52.9%54.7%

50.0% together, 55.1% for him apart and 40.0% for Appleton apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Appleton behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

151 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 55% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.