Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

2

Dylan DeMelo

Winnipeg Jets Defense

Plus-31 in 82 games, 86 per cent of his shot attempts from beyond 40 feet, and 3 goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16SJS45224014200424.813:37
2016-17SJS25178+214000323.115:54
2017-18SJS6302020-134000670.014:12
2018-19OTT7741822-1320001093.719:17
2019-20OTT/WPG5901010+437000740.020:08
2020-21WPG52099+1020000440.016:58
2021-22WPG7611213+1028010781.318:30
2022-23WPG7562127+1050011936.519:34
2023-24WPG8232831+4636000833.621:44
2024-25WPG8231619+3138002754.021:32
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—63620143163+1113032236972.918:41

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 16 assists in 82 games — 19 points at 21:32 a night, plus-31, with 38 penalty minutes on 75 shots.

53.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 78th percentile, across 1,486 minutes. His ice went 66-48 against an expectation of 62.51-54.64 — six goals of scoring missing and nine fewer conceded.

The Finesse Game

75 attempts in 82 games at a median of 57 feet with 86 per cent from beyond 40 and 5 per cent from inside 20, and 3 goals. 20 goals in 636 career games. He does not shoot and does not pretend to.

16 assists. The first pass is the entire offensive contribution and it is very good — it is early, it is short, and it goes to the correct side of the ice, which is what allows the man beside him to leave the zone with the puck.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 194 and honest rather than punishing. He closes gaps early, he defends the rush with positioning, and he clears the front of his own net without hurting anybody.

38 penalty minutes in 82 games at twenty-one and a half a night is a low rate. He kills penalties, he blocks shots, and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

A sixth-round pick in 2011 — 179th overall — and 636 games and 163 points across three organisations.

He is 32. He has played beside Josh Morrissey for five seasons and has been plus-31, plus-46 and plus-10 in the last three, which for a defenceman who scores nineteen points is the whole argument.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    86.0% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 96th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “**The first pass is the entire offensive contribution and it is very good** — it is early, it is short, and it goes to the correct side of the ice, which is what allows the man beside him to leave the zone with the puck.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He closes gaps early, he defends the rush with positioning, and he clears the front of his own net without hurting anybody.”

  • clears-the-creasepresent and ordinary· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He closes gaps early, he defends the rush with positioning, and he clears the front of his own net without hurting anybody.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He kills penalties, he blocks shots, and he does not retaliate.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He kills penalties, he blocks shots, and he does not retaliate.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He kills penalties, he blocks shots, and he does not retaliate.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,486 minutes

Expected goals
53.4%
81st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.1%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 66 for, 48 against. Expected: 62.5 and 54.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
42nd
Numbers
81st

The numbers rank him 39 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
20.7 mph
18th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.12 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.81 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.5 mph
38th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1486 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.4% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,486 minutes at five-on-five — 99th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Josh Morrissey53.1%54.5%56.9%
Mark Scheifele52.9%53.6%49.3%
Kyle Connor52.6%53.8%50.1%

53.1% together, 54.5% for him apart and 56.9% for Morrissey apart. Morrissey was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

129 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 44 feet. 5% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 86% from beyond forty.