This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Steven Lorentz
Toronto Maple Leafs Center
Six-foot-four, five game-winning goals from a fourth line, and 9 penalty minutes in 80 games.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | CAR | 45 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 5.0 | 10:26 |
| 2021-22 | CAR | 67 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 10.0 | 10:53 |
| 2022-23 | SJS | 80 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 9.0 | 11:50 |
| 2023-24 | FLA | 38 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 3.3 | 8:47 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 80 | 8 | 11 | 19 | +6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 76 | 10.5 | 10:33 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 310 | 29 | 33 | 62 | -20 | 51 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 337 | 8.6 | 10:43 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
8 goals and 11 assists in 80 games — 19 points at 10:33 a night, plus-6, with a shorthanded goal and 5 game-winning goals on 9 penalty minutes.
51.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 62nd percentile, across 711 minutes. His ice went 24-20 against an expectation of 22.77-21.66 — twelve goals better than expected for and seven worse against, on a fourth line.
The Finesse Game
76 attempts at a median of 28 feet with 39 per cent from inside 20, converting at 10.5 per cent. Eight goals from a fourth-line winger at ten and a half minutes a night is a good return.
11 assists in 80 games. There is no creation and there is not meant to be; five game-winning goals from a man playing this little is a coincidence and a pleasant one.
The Physical Game
6-4 and 219 and he forechecks harder than anybody on the fourth line. He finishes checks, he protects the puck below the goal line, and he is difficult to move.
9 penalty minutes in 80 games is among the lowest totals of any regular in this edition, which for a player who hits this much is remarkable. He does not foul and he is a first-unit penalty killer.
The Intangibles
A seventh-round pick in 2015 — 186th overall — and 310 games and 62 points across four organisations, with a Stanley Cup ring from Florida in 2024.
He is 29 and Toronto signed him for the fourth line the summer after he won it. On a club that spent 5:04 a game shorthanded, a forward who takes nine penalty minutes in a season is worth more than the contract.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- disciplined· stays out of the box
0.11 penalty minutes a game over 80, 4th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
- durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
27% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 3rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“**6-4 and 219 and he forechecks harder than anybody on the fourth line.** He finishes checks, he protects the puck below the goal line, and he is difficult to move.”
“He finishes checks, he protects the puck below the goal line, and he is difficult to move.”
“He finishes checks, he protects the puck below the goal line, and he is difficult to move.”
“**9 penalty minutes in 80 games** is among the lowest totals of any regular in this edition, which for a player who hits this much is remarkable.”
“He does not foul and he is a first-unit penalty killer.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 711 minutes
- Expected goals
- 51.2%
- 65th pct
- Shot attempts
- 47.4%
- 28th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 20 against. Expected: 22.8 and 21.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 29 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games
- Top speed
- 22.4 mph
- 56th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.38 a game
- Distance
- 1.76 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 87.3 mph
- 62nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 711 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- TOR took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.2% — 1.0 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 711 minutes at five-on-five — 29th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Kampf | 50.4% | 52.0% | 37.4% |
| Morgan Rielly | 49.7% | 52.2% | 49.9% |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 58.0% | 48.3% | 49.1% |
50.4% together, 52.0% for him apart and 37.4% for Kampf apart. Kampf was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Kampf than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
106 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.