Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

62

Nino Niederreiter

Winnipeg Jets Right Wing

Nine hundred and sixty-nine games, 240 goals, and 48 per cent of his shot attempts from inside 20 feet at 33.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11NYI9112-18000128.313:36
2011-12NYI55101-2912000741.410:07
2013-14MIN81142236+12442011439.814:06
2014-15MIN80241337+22861514916.114:33
2015-16MIN82202343+93620115912.615:33
2016-17MIN82253257+175380318613.415:04
2017-18MIN63181432+143670413313.515:00
2018-19MIN/CAR82233053-43060318412.516:14
2019-20CAR67111829-3424021159.614:49
2020-21CAR56201434+202940412615.915:43
2021-22CAR75242044+293440514416.714:50
2022-23NSH/WPG78241741-132240218113.316:17
2023-24WPG77181634+123430317010.614:58
2024-25WPG82172037+162440315011.314:51
2025-26 so far
Career969240240480+8143254136192612.514:51

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

17 goals and 20 assists in 82 games — 37 points at 14:51 a night, plus-16, with 4 power-play goals and 3 game-winners on 150 shots, and 24 penalty minutes.

49.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 49th percentile. His ice went 50-34 against an expectation of 39.25-39.77 — eleven goals better than expected for and six fewer conceded, which is a checking line that came out well ahead of its chances at both ends.

The Finesse Game

150 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 48 per cent from inside 20, converting at 11.3 per cent. He shoots from the paint and always has — 240 goals in 969 career games.

20 assists. There is not much creation; he retrieves the puck, he goes to the net, and he tips what comes from the point.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 218 and he forechecks with genuine force. He finishes checks, he wins pucks on the wall, and he is difficult to move off the puck.

24 penalty minutes in 82 games is a low rate for a player who plays this way. He is not an agitator and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

Fifth overall in 2010 by the Islanders and 969 games and 480 points across five organisations, one of the best players Switzerland has produced.

He is 33 and has scored 17, 18 and 24 goals in his three seasons here. He is what a fourteen-year checking winger looks like when the body has held up.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,060 minutes

Expected goals
49.7%
50th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.4%
58th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 34 against. Expected: 39.3 and 39.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
72nd
Numbers
50th

The report ranks him 22 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1060 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.7% — 2.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,060 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mason Appleton50.0%48.8%48.1%
Adam Lowry49.7%49.6%54.1%
Josh Morrissey49.3%49.9%55.3%

50.0% together, 48.8% for him apart and 48.1% for Appleton apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

213 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.