Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

17

Adam Lowry

Winnipeg Jets Center

Six-five, 392 career penalty minutes, and 11 shorthanded goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15WPG80111223+14601210410.613:45
2015-16WPG7471017-953002739.614:01
2016-17WPG82151429+15250112212.316:03
2017-18WPG4581321+981017011.414:54
2018-19WPG78121123+63301310511.414:38
2019-20WPG494610-423011685.914:58
2020-21WPG52101424+6130138012.515:32
2021-22WPG7913821+15903011511.315:29
2022-23WPG82132336+44803212610.315:39
2023-24WPG81122335+175701111910.116:06
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—702105134239+323926111698210.715:07

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 12 goals and 23 assists for 35 points, 1 shorthanded, 57 penalty minutes, 16:06 a night and plus-17, with 1 game-winner. He took 54.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,055 minutes, the 86th percentile, and his ice went 38-21 against an expectation of 44.32-36.53.

Six goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and sixteen goals of goaltending above them. Thirty-eight goals for and 21 against is the best ledger of any checking centre in this chapter.

The Finesse Game

188 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 49 per cent of them from inside twenty and 10 per cent from beyond forty, 114 of those on goal, converted at 10.1 per cent against a career 10.69 across 982 shots.

105 career goals and 134 assists in 702 games. Half his attempts came from inside twenty feet and only a tenth from beyond forty, which at 6-5 is a centre who does his shooting from the top of the crease; 12 goals is what the ice he takes allows.

The Physical Game

He is 6-5 and 210 and took 57 penalty minutes.

392 career penalty minutes in 702 games. He forechecks with the frame and wins every wall he arrives at, and ten seasons of taking the hardest assignment on the club is where the penalty totals come from.

The Intangibles

Sixty-seventh overall in 2011 by Winnipeg, ten seasons, one organisation, and 239 points in 702 games.

A career plus-32 and 11 shorthanded goals in 702 games. He was a third-round pick, he has played every one of his 702 NHL games for this club, and he took 54.8 per cent of the chances doing the job nobody wants.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    66.0% of his attempts in the slot, 92nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    37% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 8th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He forechecks with the frame and wins every wall he arrives at, and ten seasons of taking the hardest assignment on the club is where the penalty totals come from.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “A career plus-32 and 11 shorthanded goals in 702 games.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “He was a third-round pick, he has played every one of his 702 NHL games for this club, and he took 54.8 per cent of the chances doing the job nobody wants.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,055 minutes

Expected goals
54.8%
86th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.4%
75th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 21 against. Expected: 44.3 and 36.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
95th
Numbers
86th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 81 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
50th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.72 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.62 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.3 mph
47th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1055 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WPG took 52.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.8% — 2.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,055 minutes at five-on-five — 66th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mason Appleton54.4%57.0%41.8%
Nino Niederreiter55.7%52.7%52.4%
Dylan DeMelo53.4%56.0%52.9%

54.4% together, 57.0% for him apart and 41.8% for Appleton apart. Appleton was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Appleton than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

188 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 10% from beyond forty.