Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

18

Steven Lorentz

Toronto Maple Leafs Center

A seventh-round pick, 6-4, and a sixteen-foot median attempt.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21CAR45268+18001405.010:26
2021-22CAR678513080018010.010:53
2022-23SJS8010919-18161101119.011:50
2023-24FLA38123-910001303.38:47
2024-25 so far
Career230212243-26421132618.110:47

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

38 games with Florida, 1 goal and 2 assists, 10 penalty minutes, 8:47 a night and minus-9, with 1 game-winner. He took 48.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 324 minutes, the 40th percentile, and his ice went 4-13 against an expectation of 10.34-11.05.

Six goals of finishing below what the chances were worth across 324 minutes, which is an enormous shortfall for the ice. Four goals for in 324 minutes of five-on-five hockey is the lowest rate of anybody on this roster.

The Finesse Game

44 attempts at a median of 16 feet with 57 per cent of them from inside twenty and 14 per cent from beyond forty, 29 of those on goal, converted at 3.3 per cent against a career 8.05 across 261 shots.

Twenty-one career goals in 230 games. A sixteen-foot median attempt is the closest chart on this club; at 6-4 he takes the puck to the paint and shoots from there or not at all, and one goal all season is a rate rather than a verdict.

The Physical Game

He is 6-4 and 219 and took 10 penalty minutes.

Forty-two career penalty minutes in 230 games is a very low total for a man that size. He forechecks with the frame and finishes checks without reaching, which is exactly what an eight-minute fourth-liner is supposed to do.

The Intangibles

One hundred and eighty-sixth overall in 2015 by Carolina, four seasons, and Toronto will be his fourth organisation.

A career minus-26 in 230 games and one shorthanded goal. He was a seventh-round pick who reached the league at 24 and has held a fourth-line job on three clubs since.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 324 minutes

Expected goals
48.3%
40th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.7%
60th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 4 for, 13 against. Expected: 10.3 and 11.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
57th
Numbers
40th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with FLA · 324 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
FLA took 53.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.3% — 5.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
324 minutes at five-on-five — 7th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Lomberg51.6%44.9%45.3%
Kevin Stenlund48.9%47.8%43.4%
Niko Mikkola48.3%48.4%52.0%

51.6% together, 44.9% for him apart and 45.3% for Lomberg apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

44 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 37 feet. 57% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.