Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

62

Nino Niederreiter

Winnipeg Jets Right Wing

Eight hundred and eighty-seven games, 223 goals, and 408 penalty minutes.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11NYI9112-18000128.313:36
2011-12NYI55101-2912000741.410:07
2013-14MIN81142236+12442011439.814:06
2014-15MIN80241337+22861514916.114:33
2015-16MIN82202343+93620115912.615:33
2016-17MIN82253257+175380318613.415:04
2017-18MIN63181432+143670413313.515:00
2018-19MIN/CAR82233053-43060318412.516:14
2019-20CAR67111829-3424021159.614:49
2020-21CAR56201434+202940412615.915:43
2021-22CAR75242044+293440514416.714:50
2022-23NSH/WPG78241741-132240218113.316:17
2023-24WPG77181634+123430317010.614:58
2024-25 so far
Career887223220443+6540850133177612.614:52

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games, 18 goals and 16 assists for 34 points, 3 on the power play, 34 penalty minutes, 14:58 a night and plus-12, with 3 game-winners. He took 54.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,009 minutes, the 86th percentile, and his ice went 38-24 against an expectation of 42.59-35.08.

Five goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and eleven goals of goaltending above them. Fifty-four point eight per cent of the chances at fifteen minutes a night is a second-line share from a third-line assignment.

The Finesse Game

221 attempts at a median of 20 feet with 49 per cent of them from inside twenty and 24 per cent from beyond forty, 167 of those on goal, converted at 10.6 per cent against a career 12.56 across 1,776 shots.

223 career goals and 50 power-play goals in 887 games. Half his attempts came from inside twenty feet at 6-2 and 218 pounds; he takes the puck to the net and finishes from there, and thirteen seasons of a career 12.56 per cent says the hands have never been the problem.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 218 and took 34 penalty minutes.

408 career penalty minutes in 887 games. He is heavy and forechecks straight into defencemen, and he has done it for thirteen seasons without the penalty totals ever getting out of hand.

The Intangibles

Fifth overall in 2010 by the Islanders, thirteen seasons, and Winnipeg is his fifth organisation.

A career plus-65 and 443 points in 887 games. He is 32, he has scored eighteen or more in nine different seasons, and he has been a useful top-nine forward on four clubs since the Islanders gave up on him at 21.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,009 minutes

Expected goals
54.8%
86th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53%
79th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 24 against. Expected: 42.6 and 35.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
90th
Numbers
86th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1009 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WPG took 52.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.8% — 2.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,009 minutes at five-on-five — 59th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mason Appleton53.1%61.7%46.8%
Adam Lowry55.7%52.4%52.7%
Neal Pionk54.8%54.8%47.1%

53.1% together, 61.7% for him apart and 46.8% for Appleton apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Appleton behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

221 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 8 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.