This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Adam Larsson

Plus-22 on a club that was outscored by twenty, and his ice conceded twelve fewer goals than the chances predicted.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2011-12	NJD	65	2	16	18	-7	20	0	0	0	68	2.9	20:37
2012-13	NJD	37	0	6	6	+4	12	0	0	0	30	0.0	18:06
2013-14	NJD	26	1	2	3	-1	12	0	0	1	20	5.0	17:47
2014-15	NJD	64	3	21	24	+2	34	0	0	1	91	3.3	20:58
2015-16	NJD	82	3	15	18	+15	77	0	0	1	65	4.6	22:31
2016-17	EDM	79	4	15	19	+21	55	0	0	0	85	4.7	20:09
2017-18	EDM	63	4	9	13	+10	34	0	0	1	92	4.3	21:56
2018-19	EDM	82	3	17	20	-28	44	0	0	0	117	2.6	21:37
2019-20	EDM	49	1	5	6	0	35	0	0	0	61	1.6	19:50
2020-21	EDM	56	4	6	10	+2	24	0	0	0	52	7.7	19:39
2021-22	SEA	82	8	17	25	-23	55	0	0	3	119	6.7	22:17
2022-23	SEA	82	8	25	33	+27	47	0	1	2	143	5.6	23:38
2023-24	SEA	81	4	14	18	+6	55	0	0	1	130	3.1	22:57
2024-25	SEA	82	7	21	28	+22	31	0	0	1	112	6.3	21:11
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	930	52	189	241	+50	535	0	1	11	1185	4.4	21:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 21 assists in 82 games — 28 points at 21:11 a night, plus-22, the best figure on the club by a distance, with 31 penalty minutes.

46.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 18th percentile. His ice went 71-64 against an expectation of 55.19-62.99 — twelve fewer goals conceded than the chances predicted, which is the largest defensive surplus on the roster and is where the plus-22 comes from.

The Finesse Game

112 attempts at a median of 55 feet with 77 per cent from beyond 40 and 7 per cent from inside 20. He does not shoot and 7 goals is a career high by two.

21 assists is a career-typical number and it comes entirely from the first pass, which is short, early and correct. He does not carry the puck out and the club does not want him to.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 207 and among the most reliable defensive defencemen in the league. He blocks shots, he clears the front of his own net, and he defends the rush by standing men up at the blue line.

31 penalty minutes in 82 games at twenty-one minutes a night is a low rate. He is very rarely beaten badly enough to reach, and he is the club’s first-unit penalty killer.

The Intangibles

Fourth overall in 2011 by New Jersey, traded for Taylor Hall in 2016, and 930 games and 241 points across four organisations.

He is 33 and has been the most-trusted defenceman on this roster since the expansion draft. The plus-22, on ice that came out 71-64, is the sort of number that only comes from playing a specific way for a full season.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it
“He blocks shots, he clears the front of his own net, and he defends the rush by standing men up at the blue line.”
clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net
“He blocks shots, he clears the front of his own net, and he defends the rush by standing men up at the blue line.”
fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step
“He is very rarely beaten badly enough to reach, and he is the club's first-unit penalty killer.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He is very rarely beaten badly enough to reach, and he is the club's first-unit penalty killer.”
transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control
“He does not carry the puck out and the club does not want him to.”
defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead
“21 assists is a career-typical number and it comes entirely from the first pass, which is short, early and correct.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,419 minutes

Expected goals: 46.7%; 25th pct
Shot attempts: 48.6%; 39th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 71 for, 64 against. Expected: 55.2 and 63.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

49th

Numbers

25th

The report ranks him 24 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed: 21.7 mph; 50th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.45 a game
Distance: 2.89 miles a game
Hardest shot: 98.3 mph; 93rd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1419 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: SEA took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.7% — 0.5 below the club he did it on.
The role: Second pair, 1,419 minutes at five-on-five — 96th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Vince Dunn	48.8%	42.5%	49.1%
Jaden Schwartz	44.6%	47.7%	48.9%
Matty Beniers	48.7%	45.8%	50.2%

48.8% together, 42.5% for him apart and 49.1% for Dunn apart. He was worse away from Dunn, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Dunn did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

178 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 49 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 77% from beyond forty.